Wed, Apr 24, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
57%
10%
9%
24%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:01 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.01 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.05 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.03 | 49.2% | +20.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.30 | 48.9% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.12 | 53.3% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.02 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.32 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.18 | 40.0% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.14 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.20 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.08 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:59 | 0.24 | 57.8% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 11:32 | 0.28 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.11 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.14 | −1.9 | 59:28 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:12 | 0.02 | 57.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 | 0.01 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:00 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.02 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 21:04 | 1.33 | 51.6% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 20:47 | 0.29 | 61.0% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.11 | 46.3% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.08 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.15 | 41.6% | +0.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.06 | 68.0% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.01 | 61.0% | +46.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.25 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.15 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.03 | 66.3% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.05 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:57 | 0.14 | 86.4% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:36 | 0.08 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.12 | 82.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.06 | +0.1 | 60:00 |