Sat, Oct 5, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.
73%
14%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:13 | 0.05 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:43 | 0.07 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.10 | 45.6% | +39.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 20:51 | 0.20 | 42.6% | +54.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:42 | 0.10 | 36.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.21 | 33.4% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.14 | 53.1% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 18:43 | 0.12 | 47.6% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.08 | 37.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.16 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.05 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.15 | 42.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.33 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.08 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.04 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:49 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 42 | 38 | 4 | .905 | 3.80 | −0.2 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:05 | 0.08 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:46 | 0.38 | 61.9% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.34 | 64.9% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:26 | 0.70 | 65.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 23:26 | 0.06 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:57 | 0.15 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:23 | 0.00 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.06 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 19:00 | 0.20 | 73.1% | +52.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 7 | 18:22 | 0.63 | 50.9% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.38 | 80.0% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.10 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.31 | 20.3% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.03 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:14 | 0.06 | 72.7% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:52 | 0.06 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 5:16 | 0.27 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 1.21 | −2.8 | 30:56 | |
| W | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.67 | +0.7 | 34:04 |