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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 5, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 79% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Spezza–Michalek–RyanMacArthur–Turris–ConacherNeil–Greening–SmithKassian–Condra–PageauCondra–Smith–PageauMethot–KarlssonPhillips–CorvoWiercioch–CowenPhillips–KarlssonKarlsson–WierciochPhillips–CowenMethot–Cowen
Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak10:170.65–0.400:530.05–0.040:300.00–0.032:010.06–0.0010:500.50–0.390:440.00–0.021:080.06–0.030:400.05–0.00
Lupul–Bolland–Raymond0:330.00–0.004:340.40–0.110:470.00–0.001:470.00–0.003:250.24–0.11
Orr–McClement–Devane0:360.00–0.002:030.00–0.012:240.11–0.161:380.00–0.002:020.06–0.031:020.03–0.15
Bodie–Bolland–Raymond4:030.48–0.021:030.25–0.002:410.10–0.020:440.13–0.00
Lupul–Kadri–Abbott3:390.03–0.310:460.00–0.043:140.03–0.31
Orr–McClement–Kadri1:070.00–0.060:540.00–0.05
McClement–Bodie–Kadri0:410.02–0.000:410.02–0.000:390.00–0.02
Ranger–Gardiner0:550.20–0.041:340.16–0.027:180.48–0.161:420.08–0.162:110.08–0.003:140.45–0.006:320.17–0.222:360.22–0.191:230.11–0.01
Franson–Rielly0:460.00–0.008:110.45–0.301:330.00–0.081:320.06–0.040:470.00–0.002:540.19–0.082:560.03–0.046:370.31–0.39
Phaneuf–Gunnarsson8:560.32–0.300:590.05–0.040:450.00–0.030:570.00–0.060:330.00–0.009:350.29–0.321:280.00–0.060:320.04–0.000:320.00–0.030:400.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FKadri FAbbott FLupul FRaymond FBolland FBodie FMcClement FOrr FDevane FPhaneuf DGunnarsson DFranson DRielly DRanger DGardiner DReimer GBernier GRyan FMichalek FSpezza FTurris FMacArthur FConacher FGreening FSmith FNeil FKassian FPageau FCondra FMethot DKarlsson DCowen DWiercioch DPhillips DCorvo DAnderson G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3127:130:531:3574
Dion PhaneufTOR3325:050:461:4827
Phil KesselTOR3424:460:441:3164
Tyler BozakTOR3524:130:421:2565
Chris PhillipsOTT3023:430:471:2859
Marc MethotOTT3323:400:431:1956
James van RiemsdykTOR3223:260:441:3164
Cody FransonTOR3523:260:401:2275
Paul RangerTOR3321:570:401:2954
Jared CowenOTT3121:460:421:2466
Jake GardinerTOR3221:230:401:5655
Kyle TurrisOTT2820:510:451:2053
Jason SpezzaOTT2619:420:451:2353
Milan MichalekOTT2719:370:441:1952
Carl GunnarssonTOR3319:240:351:11110
Patrick WierciochOTT2819:120:411:2452
Mason RaymondTOR2819:000:411:1955
Clarke MacArthurOTT2718:430:421:3342
Joffrey LupulTOR3218:220:341:1962
Dave BollandTOR2618:220:421:1647
Morgan RiellyTOR2818:070:391:2232
Bobby RyanOTT2616:520:391:1272
Zack SmithOTT2316:180:431:0844
Nazem KadriTOR2915:510:330:5852
Joe CorvoOTT2014:380:441:1833
Cory ConacherOTT2014:210:431:1051
Jay McClementTOR2313:320:351:2907
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2313:220:351:0036
Erik CondraOTT1812:180:411:1925
Colin GreeningOTT1911:450:371:1443
Chris NeilOTT1610:400:401:1052
Colton OrrTOR158:440:351:0203
Troy BodieTOR108:140:491:1323
Jamie DevaneTOR96:520:460:5710
Spencer AbbottTOR105:160:320:5802
Matt KassianOTT94:490:320:5220