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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 9, 2013·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Ottawa Senators 3, Los Angeles Kings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 76% of the time.

LAK winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

LAK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacArthur–Turris–ConacherMichalek–Ryan–Da CostaNeil–Greening–SmithRyan–Condra–PageauKassian–Condra–PageauNeil–Michalek–Da CostaMethot–KarlssonPhillips–CorvoWiercioch–CowenKarlsson–Wiercioch
Williams–Brown–Kopitar4:550.15–0.041:520.06–0.002:240.00–0.030:300.03–0.003:280.15–0.023:360.05–0.004:280.07–0.031:010.00–0.02
Carter–Richards–Carcillo3:430.19–0.020:510.01–0.062:110.18–0.000:520.04–0.000:470.02–0.024:250.20–0.061:540.35–0.003:420.09–0.060:340.00–0.01
Stoll–King–Nolan0:380.00–0.001:350.00–0.011:080.01–0.002:040.07–0.002:230.05–0.084:280.26–0.101:530.00–0.00
Lewis–Frattin–Clifford1:310.05–0.082:040.00–0.041:090.00–0.011:410.00–0.001:090.02–0.136:120.05–0.071:380.00–0.131:230.04–0.06
Regehr–Doughty4:160.15–0.113:400.10–0.100:340.00–0.002:450.02–0.002:120.02–0.0210:510.31–0.122:400.05–0.182:070.06–0.051:000.00–0.02
Mitchell–Voynov6:260.23–0.023:100.03–0.081:250.06–0.000:370.00–0.133:070.22–0.034:330.18–0.135:460.07–0.07
Greene–Martinez5:150.18–0.050:400.07–0.000:490.00–0.104:220.00–0.115:100.44–0.093:220.04–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRichards FCarcillo FCarter FKopitar FWilliams FBrown FClifford FFrattin FLewis FStoll FNolan FKing FVoynov DMitchell DDoughty DRegehr DGreene DMartinez DQuick GTurris FMacArthur FConacher FRyan FMichalek FDa Costa FGreening FSmith FNeil FCondra FKassian FPageau FCowen DWiercioch DPhillips DCorvo DMethot DKarlsson DAnderson G
LAKOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2528:091:082:3185
Drew DoughtyLAK3726:300:432:00114
Marc MethotOTT2623:460:552:0678
Patrick WierciochOTT2621:410:501:3835
Anze KopitarLAK2621:320:501:3332
Kyle TurrisOTT2720:410:461:2156
Robyn RegehrLAK3320:360:371:0864
Willie MitchellLAK3320:000:361:1638
Clarke MacArthurOTT2519:190:461:2257
Chris PhillipsOTT2618:200:421:3238
Alec MartinezLAK2318:090:471:4062
Jeff CarterLAK2717:420:391:1264
Bobby RyanOTT2717:420:391:1863
Dustin BrownLAK2317:400:461:3352
Justin WilliamsLAK2417:240:441:2042
Mike RichardsLAK2717:190:381:1264
Matt GreeneLAK2716:520:371:3847
Slava VoynovLAK2616:420:391:2234
Cory ConacherOTT2216:110:441:2055
Jared CowenOTT2315:310:401:1015
Jarret StollLAK2415:040:381:0036
Erik CondraOTT1914:540:471:1825
Milan MichalekOTT2514:170:341:1053
Stephane Da CostaOTT2314:170:371:0543
Matt FrattinLAK2013:360:411:1341
Joe CorvoOTT2013:290:401:0226
Zack SmithOTT1913:250:421:2343
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT1713:140:471:1332
Trevor LewisLAK2112:440:361:0537
Dwight KingLAK1711:540:421:0431
Colin GreeningOTT1811:480:391:2124
Daniel CarcilloLAK1711:310:410:5532
Chris NeilOTT1910:540:341:2134
Kyle CliffordLAK1610:180:391:0531
Jordan NolanLAK1610:170:390:5931
Matt KassianOTT64:590:501:0212