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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  4. P1 4:16Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
  5. P1 4:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  6. P1 6:02Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 7:05Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
  8. P1 8:22Shot by Brewer, saved by Miller
  9. P1 8:43Shot by McCormick, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 9:41Shot by Ott, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 10:48Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 11:15Shot by Palat, saved by Miller
  13. P1 11:16Larsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Purcell, Barberio, Johnson, Palat · BUF Tallinder, Ennis, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  14. P1 12:30Shot by Panik, saved by Miller5v4
  15. P1 12:46Shot by Filppula, saved by Miller5v4
  16. P1 12:48Goal by Johnson (Filppula, Carle)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Panik · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Myers, Flynn

  17. P1 14:31Shot by Larsson, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 14:58Ehrhoff: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Barberio, Hedman · BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Larsson, Pysyk, Flynn

  19. P1 16:32Shot by Carle, saved by Miller5v4
  20. P1 17:38Crombeen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman, Gudas, Palat · BUF Myers, Ennis, Foligno, Girgensons, Zadorov

  21. P1 19:21Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bishop4v5
  22. P1 19:45Shot by Filppula, saved by Miller
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:17Shot by Ott, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 0:47Ott: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Killorn, Stamkos, Gudas · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Foligno, Pysyk, Grigorenko

  27. P2 1:45Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller5v4
  28. P2 2:41McCormick: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Panik · BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Pysyk, Flynn

  29. P2 3:17Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller5v4
  30. P2 3:34Shot by Malone, saved by Miller5v4
  31. P2 3:38Shot by Malone, saved by Miller5v4
  32. P2 4:41Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 5:24Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 6:41Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  35. P2 7:30Shot by Palat, saved by Miller
  36. P2 8:03Ennis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Stamkos, Gudas · BUF Ennis, Larsson, Pysyk, Girgensons, Zadorov

  37. P2 8:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller5v4
  38. P2 9:02Shot by Panik, saved by Miller5v4
  39. P2 9:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v4
  40. P2 9:32Malone: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Pysyk, Girgensons

  41. P2 9:59Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Bishop4v4
  42. P2 11:11Shot by Salo, saved by Miller4v5
  43. P2 12:28Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 12:58Goal by Flynn (McCormick, Leino)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Killorn, Aulie, Panik · BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Leino, Pysyk, Flynn

  45. P2 13:20Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop
  46. P2 15:07Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  47. P2 15:12Shot by Barberio, saved by Miller
  48. P2 16:00Thompson: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Barberio, Johnson · BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Stafford, Leino, Pysyk

  49. P2 16:15Shot by Vanek, saved by Bishop4v5
  50. P2 16:21Shot by Vanek, saved by Bishop4v5
  51. P2 16:47Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bishop4v5
  52. P2 17:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller4v5
  53. P2 17:26Shot by Vanek, saved by Bishop4v5
  54. P2 17:29Shot by Ennis, saved by Bishop4v5
  55. P2 18:03Shot by Stafford, saved by Bishop
  56. P2 18:19Shot by Thompson, saved by Miller
  57. P2 19:00Shot by Panik, saved by Miller
  58. P2 19:00Tallinder: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Filppula, Purcell, Aulie, Panik · BUF Tallinder, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons, Zadorov

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:36Shot by Panik, saved by Miller
  62. P3 3:03Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller
  63. P3 3:41Shot by Hedman, saved by Miller
  64. P3 3:54Shot by Salo, saved by Miller
  65. P3 4:58Shot by Vanek, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 8:50Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller
  67. P3 12:46Goal by Vanek (Foligno, Girgensons)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Gudas · BUF Vanek, Myers, Foligno, Girgensons, Zadorov

  68. P3 13:13Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
  69. P3 14:09Goal by St. Louis (Stamkos, Gudas)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Gudas · BUF Ott, Vanek, Myers, Foligno, Zadorov

  70. P3 15:19Shot by Barberio, saved by Miller
  71. P3 15:55Goal by Palat (Johnson)+40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Johnson, Panik, Gudas, Palat · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Leino, Flynn, Ristolainen

  72. P3 15:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Miller
  73. P3 17:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Miller
  74. P3 17:59Shot by Palat, saved by Miller
  75. P3 18:43Shot by Vanek, saved by Bishop5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final