Sat, Oct 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
9%
27%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:15 | 0.10 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:02 | 0.07 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:48 | 0.16 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 42.8% | +32.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.14 | 52.1% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.55 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:25 | 0.10 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:12 | 0.49 | 30.8% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.12 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.03 | 47.6% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.13 | 58.8% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.06 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.02 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 52.4% | +24.4 |
| L | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 2.71 | −0.3 | 58:35 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:28 | 0.29 | 51.1% | +34.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:33 | 0.33 | 46.5% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.03 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:09 | 0.39 | 71.6% | +61.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.04 | 60.1% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.08 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.00 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:16 | 0.20 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.09 | 54.9% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.08 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:25 | 0.31 | 81.6% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 50.0% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:22 | 0.33 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:39 | 0.34 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.06 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.11 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:05 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 1.98 | 0.0 | 59:40 |