Sat, Oct 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
9%
27%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ennis–Larsson–Girgensons | Ott–Foligno–Grigorenko | Vanek–Hodgson–Flynn | McCormick–Leino–Flynn | McCormick–Stafford–Leino | Ott–Vanek–Foligno | Vanek–Hodgson–Grigorenko | Ehrhoff–Pysyk | Myers–Zadorov | Tallinder–Ristolainen | Ristolainen–Zadorov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purcell–Johnson–Palat | 5:090.13–0.06 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 3:360.12–0.02 | 3:090.03–0.00 | 1:390.10–0.04 | |||||
| St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos | 3:440.06–0.26 | 1:270.05–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 3:220.06–0.22 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.05 | |||||
| Filppula–Killorn–Panik | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.14 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.18 | 2:090.01–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos | 1:420.00–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:250.12–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.07 | |||||||
| Filppula–Thompson–Purcell | 1:320.10–0.00 | 1:320.10–0.00 | |||||||||
| Johnson–Panik–Palat | 0:560.13–0.00 | 1:230.13–0.00 | |||||||||
| Crombeen–Thompson–Killorn | 1:060.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Crombeen–Thompson–Palat | 0:550.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Crombeen–Thompson–Purcell | 0:380.04–0.00 | 0:380.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| Thompson–Purcell–Johnson | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Thompson–Johnson–Palat | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Salo–Hedman | 3:270.05–0.09 | 1:590.02–0.00 | 1:250.08–0.00 | 4:040.14–0.09 | 2:550.12–0.00 | ||||||
| Brewer–Barberio | 2:290.08–0.06 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:550.03–0.07 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:300.07–0.02 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 2:470.11–0.12 | ||||
| Carle–Gudas | 1:350.00–0.02 | 1:360.06–0.16 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 4:240.06–0.19 | 0:370.12–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||
| Carle–Barberio | 1:350.05–0.01 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:250.02–0.01 | ||||||
| Hedman–Gudas | 1:330.00–0.04 | 0:370.00–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 1:220.02–0.11 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||||
| Brewer–Gudas | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 2:010.02–0.00 | 1:040.11–0.00 | |||||||
| Brewer–Aulie | 1:410.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.14 | 0:480.02–0.14 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Barberio–Hedman | 0:370.07–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:380.07–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Aulie–Hedman | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:360.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Salo–Carle | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Salo–Aulie | 0:310.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 28 | 25:15 | 0:54 | 2:02 | 2 | 7 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 23:28 | 0:59 | 1:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 24 | 22:33 | 0:56 | 1:22 | 6 | 2 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 25 | 22:02 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 0 | 4 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 24 | 21:57 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 6 | 0 |
 Steve OttBUF | 25 | 21:48 | 0:52 | 2:14 | 3 | 6 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 21:09 | 0:58 | 1:39 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 24 | 20:45 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 24 | 19:51 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 25 | 19:20 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 6 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 19 | 17:56 | 0:57 | 1:30 | 4 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 17:33 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 5 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 22 | 17:16 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 23 | 16:54 | 0:44 | 2:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Henrik TallinderBUF | 25 | 16:50 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Nikita ZadorovBUF | 22 | 16:50 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 21 | 16:26 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 19 | 15:46 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 19 | 15:25 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 20 | 15:18 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 16 | 14:27 | 0:54 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 21 | 14:25 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 18 | 14:22 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 5 | 0 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 16 | 14:12 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 16 | 13:52 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 2 | 0 |
 Richard PanikTBL | 19 | 13:39 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 3 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 17 | 13:39 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 19 | 13:18 | 0:42 | 2:07 | 1 | 5 |
 Mark BarberioTBL | 16 | 12:56 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 17 | 12:55 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 6 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 17 | 12:39 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 11 | 12:10 | 1:06 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 18 | 11:57 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Ville LeinoBUF | 13 | 9:56 | 0:46 | 2:07 | 0 | 2 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 13 | 8:19 | 0:38 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 10 | 7:05 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |