Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 30, 2013·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 73% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Colborne, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Butler, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 0:59Shot by Wideman, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 1:18Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 1:18Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 1:18Shot by Stajan, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 1:22McLaren: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY McGrattan, Jackman, O'Brien, Smith, Colborne · TOR Orr, Franson, McLaren, Smith, Rielly

  9. P1 1:22McGrattan: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY McGrattan, Jackman, O'Brien, Smith, Colborne · TOR Orr, Franson, McLaren, Smith, Rielly

  10. P1 3:05Shot by Ranger, saved by Ramo
  11. P1 3:43Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 4:11Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 5:50Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ramo
  14. P1 5:51Wideman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Jones, Glencross, Russell · TOR Ranger, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri

  15. P1 7:56Goal by Lupul (Gardiner, Kadri)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Russell, Butler, Colborne, Bouma · TOR Lupul, Raymond, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly

  16. P1 10:18Shot by Glencross, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 11:46Shot by McClement, saved by Ramo
  18. P1 12:54Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ramo
  19. P1 13:07Shot by Brodie, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 13:10Shot by Glencross, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 13:19Clarkson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Cammalleri, Butler, Galiardi, Colborne, Brodie · TOR Clarkson, Bolland, Raymond, Franson, Rielly

  22. P1 14:04Shot by Russell, saved by Bernier5v4
  23. P1 14:37Shot by Glencross, saved by Bernier5v4
  24. P1 16:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Ramo
  25. P1 18:35Shot by Russell, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 19:16Bolland: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Glencross, Butler, Galiardi, Brodie · TOR Ranger, Bolland, Raymond, Kessel, Gardiner

  27. P1 19:31Shot by Wideman, saved by Bernier5v4
  28. P1 19:56Goal by van Riemsdyk (McClement)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Jones, Russell, Monahan · TOR McClement, Phaneuf, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:48Shot by Glencross, saved by Bernier5v4
  32. P2 0:49Shot by Glencross, saved by Bernier5v4
  33. P2 1:22Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 2:20Shot by Hudler, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 2:24Shot by Baertschi, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 2:42Shot by Ranger, saved by Ramo
  37. P2 2:53Shot by Brodie, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 3:28Shot by Bolland, saved by Ramo
  39. P2 4:11Shot by Lupul, saved by Ramo
  40. P2 4:38Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 6:19Shot by Baertschi, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 6:32Shot by Brodie, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 6:43Shot by Butler, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 7:40Shot by Franson, saved by Ramo
  45. P2 9:02Shot by Ranger, saved by Ramo
  46. P2 9:21Shot by McGrattan, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 10:58Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo
  48. P2 12:21Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier6v5
  49. P2 12:22Kessel: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Hudler, Jones, Glencross, Brodie · TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly

  50. P2 13:37Shot by Brodie, saved by Bernier5v4
  51. P2 14:22Shot by Butler, saved by Bernier5v4
  52. P2 14:58Shot by Butler, saved by Bernier
  53. P2 15:37Shot by Kadri, saved by Ramo
  54. P2 15:42Shot by Lupul, saved by Ramo
  55. P2 16:56Ashton: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Hudler, O'Brien, Smith, Baertschi, Monahan · TOR Orr, McClement, Ranger, Gardiner, Ashton

  56. P2 16:56Ashton: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Hudler, O'Brien, Smith, Baertschi, Monahan · TOR Orr, McClement, Ranger, Gardiner, Ashton

  57. P2 16:56O'Brien: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Hudler, O'Brien, Smith, Baertschi, Monahan · TOR Orr, McClement, Ranger, Gardiner, Ashton

  58. P2 16:56O'Brien: Instigator (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Hudler, O'Brien, Smith, Baertschi, Monahan · TOR Orr, McClement, Ranger, Gardiner, Ashton

  59. P2 16:56O'Brien: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Hudler, O'Brien, Smith, Baertschi, Monahan · TOR Orr, McClement, Ranger, Gardiner, Ashton

  60. P2 17:03Goal by Stajan (Glencross, Brodie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Jones, Glencross, Butler, Brodie · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Kadri

  61. P2 17:32Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier
  62. P2 17:44Shot by Colborne, saved by Bernier
  63. P2 19:27Shot by Galiardi, saved by Bernier
  64. P2 19:31Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ramo
  68. P3 1:20Shot by Clarkson, saved by Ramo
  69. P3 1:31Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 4:25Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 5:59Goal by Raymond (Clarkson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hudler, Butler, Brodie, Baertschi, Monahan · TOR Phaneuf, Clarkson, Bolland, Raymond, Gunnarsson

  72. P3 6:41Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 9:40Shot by Brodie, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 9:54Bolland: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Brodie, Baertschi, Monahan · TOR Clarkson, Bolland, Raymond, Franson, Rielly

  75. P3 10:22Shot by Wideman, saved by Bernier5v4
  76. P3 13:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Ramo
  77. P3 13:28Shot by Ashton, saved by Ramo
  78. P3 14:39Goal by Jones (Russell, Wideman)+11 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Jones, Glencross, Russell · TOR Phaneuf, Clarkson, Bolland, Raymond, Gunnarsson

  79. P3 15:28Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ramo
  80. P3 16:20Shot by Baertschi, saved by Bernier
  81. P3 17:00Clarkson: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Cammalleri, Butler, Galiardi, Colborne, Brodie · TOR Ranger, Phaneuf, Clarkson, Raymond, Kadri

  82. P3 18:38Goal by Ranger, unassisted6v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Hudler, Glencross, Russell, Colborne, Monahan · TOR Ranger, Bolland, Raymond, Franson

  83. P3 19:53Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier6v5
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final