Wed, Oct 30, 2013·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 73% of the time.
66%
20%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:33 | 0.36 | 31.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.04 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.12 | 15.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.15 | 38.6% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.61 | 25.1% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.56 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.02 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.05 | 37.8% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.15 | 54.2% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:52 | 0.25 | 24.7% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.15 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.03 | 62.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.06 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:57 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:59 | 0.03 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 4.01 | +2.0 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 29:25 | 0.13 | 66.1% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 29:13 | 0.01 | 63.9% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:54 | 0.35 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.16 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:45 | 0.51 | 77.2% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:28 | 0.13 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:36 | 0.68 | 81.8% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:33 | 0.68 | 77.9% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.20 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.02 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 17:11 | 0.44 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.44 | 77.9% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:23 | 0.20 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.02 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:36 | 0.00 | 4.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:06 | 0.00 | 6.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:41 | 0.03 | 11.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.49 | −1.5 | 58:16 |