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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 30, 2013·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 73% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

James van RiemsdykLW · #21101+1423:330.3631.7%+15.8
Dion PhaneufD · #30000121:560.0425.7%0.0
Jay McClementC · #11011+1120:520.1215.8%+15.8
Carl GunnarssonD · #360000020:410.0026.1%0.0
Cody FransonD · #4000+1120:330.0026.6%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #430110120:090.1538.6%+13.9
Paul RangerD · #15101+1419:450.6125.1%+5.7
Dave BollandC · #63000+1119:300.5651.8%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1118:510.0243.3%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #51011+1018:140.0537.8%+13.9
Mason RaymondLW · #12101+2117:430.1554.2%+15.5
Joffrey LupulLW · #191010316:520.2524.7%+13.9
Phil KesselRW · #81000−1116:400.1532.5%0.0
David ClarksonRW · #710110115:380.0362.9%+15.5
Carter AshtonRW · #370000110:030.068.7%0.0
Colton OrrRW · #28000005:570.0035.0%0.0
Trevor SmithC · #23000012:590.0388.9%0.0
Frazer McLarenLW · #38000000:040.00–0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45W43412.9534.01+2.060:00

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dennis WidemanD · #6011−2329:250.1366.1%+11.2
Kris RussellD · #4011−2229:130.0163.9%+11.2
Joe ColborneC · #8000−2223:540.3541.4%0.0
Michael CammalleriLW · #130000222:380.1654.4%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #70110521:450.5177.2%+15.9
Chris ButlerD · #44000−1421:280.1368.6%0.0
Curtis GlencrossLW · #20011+1520:360.6881.8%+15.9
David JonesRW · #54101+1619:330.6877.9%+11.2
Jiri HudlerRW · #24000−3119:120.2079.9%0.0
TJ GaliardiLW · #390000118:090.0252.4%0.0
Sean MonahanC · #23000−3617:110.4481.7%0.0
Matt StajanC · #18101+2216:010.4477.9%+15.9
Sven BaertschiLW · #47000−1313:230.2080.0%0.0
Derek SmithD · #27000009:580.0250.4%0.0
Shane O'BrienD · #55000006:550.0024.0%0.0
Lance BoumaLW · #17000−104:360.004.5%0.0
Tim JackmanRW · #15000003:060.006.3%0.0
Brian McGrattanRW · #16000012:410.0311.9%0.0
Karri Ramo#31L21183.8571.49−1.558:16