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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 14, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Anaheim Ducks 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsANA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ANA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Selanne–Perreault–EtemWinnik–Cogliano–Smith-PellyPerry–Maroon–RakellPenner–Bonino–PalmieriPerry–Penner–BoninoMaroon–Palmieri–RakellWinnik–Cogliano–EtemLovejoy–FowlerBeauchemin–LindholmAllen–SbisaSbisa–LindholmSbisa–Fowler
Filppula–Purcell–Brown2:270.04–0.023:560.04–0.052:380.00–0.001:020.16–0.025:070.22–0.022:020.01–0.053:590.15–0.02
Johnson–Panik–Palat2:510.09–0.122:310.04–0.221:090.08–0.001:210.02–0.001:000.00–0.013:490.11–0.293:390.12–0.082:280.00–0.01
St. Louis–Killorn–Connolly0:420.00–0.002:150.00–0.010:330.01–0.001:250.00–0.113:120.00–0.051:310.00–0.002:300.00–0.084:460.38–0.040:500.00–0.00
Malone–Crombeen–Thompson4:200.04–0.101:020.00–0.050:580.07–0.141:280.00–0.002:040.02–0.053:300.42–0.161:490.02–0.000:570.00–0.09
St. Louis–Filppula–Killorn0:350.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Crombeen–Thompson–Palat0:380.09–0.000:380.09–0.00
Hedman–Sustr3:150.08–0.123:060.03–0.011:270.02–0.070:350.00–0.004:160.08–0.204:090.38–0.042:190.02–0.01
Brewer–Barberio3:070.15–0.001:340.02–0.002:020.15–0.000:440.00–0.001:430.00–0.004:050.07–0.003:240.24–0.003:080.37–0.00
Carle–Gudas1:470.00–0.101:130.00–0.052:180.00–0.003:290.14–0.050:500.02–0.000:330.00–0.002:160.00–0.004:130.06–0.133:300.14–0.00
Hedman–Gudas1:570.00–0.020:490.00–0.050:490.00–0.040:380.00–0.001:440.00–0.051:290.00–0.06
Carle–Sustr1:280.02–0.000:530.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:210.02–0.000:460.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Brewer–Sustr0:420.00–0.001:090.00–0.001:230.00–0.00
Carle–Hedman0:330.01–0.000:510.00–0.000:330.01–0.00
Brewer–Gudas1:020.16–0.021:310.18–0.16
Barberio–Hedman0:370.02–0.000:420.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FSt. Louis FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FPanik FPurcell FBrown FMalone FCrombeen FThompson FConnolly FGudas DCarle DSustr DHedman DBarberio DBrewer DBishop GPerry FBonino FPenner FCogliano FWinnik FEtem FSelanne FPerreault FPalmieri FMaroon FRakell FSmith-Pelly FBeauchemin DLindholm DSbisa DAllen DLovejoy DFowler DHiller G
TBLANAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2923:500:491:3726
Cam FowlerANA2623:050:531:4244
Matt CarleTBL2220:550:572:0427
Francois BeaucheminANA2920:510:431:3855
Luca SbisaANA2420:450:521:3225
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2620:170:471:2659
Hampus LindholmANA2619:460:461:3843
Radko GudasTBL2119:340:562:0426
Andrej SustrTBL2418:530:471:2805
Ben LovejoyANA2318:300:481:3422
Eric BrewerTBL2618:150:422:0117
Martin St. LouisTBL2317:530:471:1843
Corey PerryANA2017:460:531:2864
Mathieu PerreaultANA2016:590:511:3014
Emerson EtemANA2016:230:491:3022
Teemu SelanneANA2016:150:491:2423
Mark BarberioTBL1916:120:512:0132
Bryan AllenANA2015:460:471:4934
Alex KillornTBL2015:430:471:2644
Ondrej PalatTBL1915:330:491:3832
Teddy PurcellTBL1915:300:491:1344
JT BrownTBL1814:250:481:1343
Dustin PennerANA1714:250:511:3172
Tyler JohnsonTBL1914:120:451:3841
Daniel WinnikANA2114:120:411:1822
Rickard RakellANA1714:010:491:3824
Nick BoninoANA1713:570:491:2664
Andrew CoglianoANA1813:510:461:1331
Kyle PalmieriANA1613:390:511:3852
Brett ConnollyTBL1613:380:511:2331
Nate ThompsonTBL1912:540:411:0406
B.J. CrombeenTBL1712:340:441:3305
Richard PanikTBL1712:050:431:3220
Devante Smith-PellyANA1711:590:421:0240
Patrick MaroonANA1411:290:491:2123
Ryan MaloneTBL1510:020:401:0304