Thu, Dec 5, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.
36%
11%
11%
42%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Michalek–Conacher–Zibanejad | Ryan–Turris–Hoffman | Neil–Greening–Smith | Spezza–MacArthur–Condra | Methot–Karlsson | Phillips–Corvo | Wiercioch–Cowen | Karlsson–Cowen | Corvo–Wiercioch | Phillips–Cowen | Phillips–Wiercioch | Corvo–Methot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filppula–Killorn–Kucherov | 1:350.00–0.03 | 4:250.12–0.11 | 4:170.05–0.05 | 2:350.00–0.03 | 2:300.02–0.05 | 1:570.00–0.02 | 1:160.03–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:500.04–0.00 | 1:020.09–0.07 | ||
| St. Louis–Johnson–Palat | 3:030.18–0.01 | 4:380.26–0.13 | 0:580.00–0.15 | 0:570.00–0.10 | 5:430.08–0.34 | 1:090.10–0.08 | 1:430.27–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.04 | ||||
| Thompson–Purcell–Brown | 3:380.22–0.11 | 1:040.00–0.05 | 1:000.08–0.00 | 2:160.12–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.06 | 3:380.54–0.03 | 1:490.06–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||
| Crombeen–Thompson–Tyrell | 0:530.00–0.07 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.07 | 0:560.00–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Crombeen–Tyrell–Brown | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Carle–Sustr | 2:090.22–0.08 | 1:340.12–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.08 | 1:360.03–0.13 | 2:430.00–0.15 | 2:230.40–0.12 | 0:550.18–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||
| Salo–Aulie | 1:160.11–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.05 | 0:550.04–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.02 | 2:200.08–0.10 | 1:030.00–0.02 | 1:010.03–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.00 | |||
| Carle–Barberio | 0:330.00–0.01 | 2:050.05–0.12 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:460.01–0.06 | 2:070.00–0.12 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:450.05–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.06 | ||||
| Salo–Barberio | 1:030.00–0.05 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Salo–Taormina | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.13–0.00 | 1:490.07–0.02 | 1:180.20–0.02 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Barberio–Taormina | 0:590.00–0.06 | 1:440.04–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.06 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:380.04–0.07 | ||||||
| Taormina–Sustr | 1:000.10–0.03 | 1:250.11–0.17 | 0:530.08–0.01 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 0:370.10–0.02 | |||||||
| Aulie–Sustr | 1:050.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.03 | 0:590.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Barberio–Hedman | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Barberio–Sustr | 0:460.07–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.00 | 0:360.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Carle–Taormina | 1:000.00–0.07 | 0:520.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Salo–Carle | 0:470.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 29 | 24:17 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 7 | 3 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 32 | 23:19 | 0:44 | 1:46 | 1 | 4 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 31 | 22:39 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 4 | 6 |
 Mark BarberioTBL | 27 | 21:35 | 0:48 | 2:34 | 5 | 3 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 30 | 21:19 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 5 | 11 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 30 | 20:51 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 1 | 4 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 29 | 19:53 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 5 | 6 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 27 | 19:46 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 7 | 6 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 26 | 18:46 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 3 | 2 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 27 | 18:29 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 8 | 1 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 23 | 18:13 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 2 | 2 |
 Joe CorvoOTT | 25 | 18:09 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 3 | 5 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 26 | 18:07 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 7 | 4 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 23 | 17:59 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 5 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 25 | 17:54 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 2 | 7 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 22 | 17:49 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 5 | 5 |
 Clarke MacArthurOTT | 23 | 17:38 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 7 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 16:54 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 25 | 16:49 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 8 | 1 |
 Matt TaorminaTBL | 24 | 16:07 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 4 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 23 | 16:07 | 0:42 | 1:49 | 3 | 3 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 21 | 15:28 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 5 | 1 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 19 | 14:56 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 6 | 3 |
 JT BrownTBL | 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 13:57 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 18 | 13:55 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 7 | 1 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 20 | 13:48 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Cory ConacherOTT | 20 | 13:26 | 0:40 | 1:49 | 3 | 1 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 20 | 12:13 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 4 | 2 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 20 | 11:46 | 0:35 | 1:02 | 1 | 3 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 20 | 11:44 | 0:35 | 1:04 | 2 | 4 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 15 | 10:38 | 0:43 | 1:40 | 1 | 6 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 18 | 10:17 | 0:34 | 1:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 18 | 10:15 | 0:34 | 1:02 | 1 | 3 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 16 | 10:05 | 0:38 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 8 | 5:39 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |