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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 17, 2013·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Islanders 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 53% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Purcell–KillornSt. Louis–Johnson–PalatThompson–Kucherov–BrownSt. Louis–Kucherov–BrownJohnson–Panik–PalatFilppula–Killorn–PanikCrombeen–Thompson–PanikCrombeen–Johnson–PanikThompson–Palat–KucherovCarle–GudasBrewer–SustrSalo–TaorminaBrewer–BarberioSalo–BarberioCarle–SustrSalo–BrewerCarle–Barberio
Vanek–Okposo–Tavares1:150.50–0.004:250.38–0.142:130.17–0.021:110.00–0.001:100.09–0.569:100.85–0.720:440.00–0.000:590.00–0.000:370.08–0.00
Nielsen–Grabner–Bailey5:441.14–0.161:510.16–0.021:080.00–0.000:590.00–0.002:130.00–0.002:470.42–0.013:560.44–0.160:380.00–0.001:440.44–0.00
Clutterbuck–Nelson–Strome1:560.00–0.220:510.01–0.113:050.17–0.101:290.00–0.010:310.00–0.020:450.03–0.014:180.07–0.182:290.11–0.271:090.00–0.020:360.00–0.06
Boulton–Regin–Martin1:020.02–0.051:350.00–0.001:300.00–0.180:340.00–0.100:560.01–0.001:160.00–0.202:120.00–0.120:410.02–0.001:100.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.02
Bailey–Nelson–Strome0:310.00–0.000:400.00–0.02
Regin–Clutterbuck–Nelson1:040.06–0.03
Hamonic–de Haan5:181.00–0.391:040.08–0.002:550.05–0.150:490.00–0.001:330.09–0.120:420.00–0.000:560.00–0.004:420.59–0.244:370.19–0.212:560.05–0.151:110.00–0.001:150.39–0.000:420.00–0.00
MacDonald–Hickey2:100.19–0.205:180.35–0.143:020.23–0.111:340.00–0.006:190.26–0.171:040.06–0.093:180.24–0.201:470.00–0.041:370.22–0.000:340.00–0.00
Strait–Ness1:330.22–0.052:030.06–0.181:260.07–0.050:410.00–0.560:560.01–0.001:010.03–0.011:390.00–0.663:240.14–0.221:280.22–0.011:090.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Strait–Hamonic1:200.02–0.000:360.05–0.000:370.00–0.001:170.09–0.000:550.00–0.001:140.05–0.00
Strait–MacDonald0:540.14–0.020:360.00–0.080:450.00–0.00
MacDonald–Ness0:500.01–0.110:500.01–0.11
Hickey–Hamonic0:300.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
MacDonald–de Haan0:560.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndClutterbuck FStrome FNelson FBailey FGrabner FOkposo FVanek FTavares FNielsen FRegin FMartin FBoulton FHamonic Dde Haan DHickey DMacDonald DStrait DNess DNabokov GBrown FThompson FKucherov FJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FPurcell FFilppula FKillorn FCrombeen FPanik FGudas DCarle DBrewer DSustr DSalo DTaormina DBarberio DBishop G
NYITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Andrew MacDonaldNYI3126:510:521:4933
Travis HamonicNYI3125:260:492:2527
Martin St. LouisTBL2824:020:522:2953
Matt CarleTBL2924:000:502:0245
Radko GudasTBL2823:070:502:0433
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2422:420:571:2944
John TavaresNYI2622:080:512:0742
Ondrej PalatTBL2821:320:462:2161
Thomas HickeyNYI2721:300:481:5224
Eric BrewerTBL2821:270:461:3224
Sami SaloTBL2821:060:451:5152
Tyler JohnsonTBL3020:390:412:1562
Calvin de HaanNYI2720:100:451:5427
Brian StraitNYI2519:400:472:1920
Nikita KucherovTBL2519:320:471:2651
Alex KillornTBL2319:120:501:2932
Thomas VanekNYI2419:090:481:4852
Kyle OkposoNYI2618:500:431:1562
Michael GrabnerNYI2418:190:461:4835
JT BrownTBL2317:370:461:3151
Frans NielsenNYI2517:360:421:2434
Josh BaileyNYI2517:330:421:3724
Brock NelsonNYI2117:000:491:1521
Andrej SustrTBL2015:330:471:5933
Teddy PurcellTBL1815:140:511:2931
Ryan StromeNYI1815:070:501:2901
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2115:010:431:0603
Aaron NessNYI1813:450:461:2330
Nate ThompsonTBL2113:440:391:2544
Matt TaorminaTBL2112:230:350:5832
Mark BarberioTBL1110:551:001:5101
Richard PanikTBL1510:400:431:0234
Peter ReginNYI1710:320:371:0641
Matt MartinNYI159:580:401:0541
Eric BoultonNYI139:250:431:3241
B.J. CrombeenTBL75:240:461:0104