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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 19, 2013·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Florida Panthers 4, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 66% of the time.

OTT winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Upshall–Bjugstad–HuberdeauBoyes–Bergenheim–BarkovKopecky–Goc–FleischmannBarch–Matthias–HayesCampbell–GilbertWeaver–KulikovOlsen–GudbransonKulikov–GudbransonCampbell–WeaverWeaver–Gudbranson
MacArthur–Ryan–Turris4:580.06–0.132:350.40–0.032:510.10–0.163:410.19–0.003:550.11–0.323:320.26–0.05
Spezza–Michalek–Smith1:590.02–0.003:450.15–0.271:480.38–0.152:380.16–0.012:390.02–0.11
Neil–Kassian–Pageau0:470.00–0.002:460.04–0.141:360.04–0.021:510.00–0.12
Spezza–Michalek–Condra1:300.02–0.060:390.00–0.001:510.00–0.030:340.00–0.05
Greening–Condra–Pageau2:050.09–0.011:200.08–0.000:360.00–0.000:350.01–0.00
Neil–Greening–Smith1:400.00–0.041:010.08–0.001:270.00–0.001:010.08–0.00
Greening–Condra–Zibanejad1:520.00–0.031:040.00–0.000:530.01–0.03
Neil–Greening–Pageau0:530.00–0.000:520.00–0.100:530.00–0.00
Greening–Condra–Smith1:040.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Karlsson–Cowen7:030.18–0.302:480.06–0.032:080.11–0.054:360.17–0.033:290.11–0.164:110.03–0.270:360.16–0.00
Corvo–Methot0:460.00–0.002:260.33–0.013:170.10–0.103:270.04–0.142:560.16–0.024:470.11–0.321:450.27–0.001:030.00–0.000:350.01–0.000:320.02–0.00
Phillips–Ceci2:070.01–0.043:070.23–0.212:160.05–0.030:580.00–0.003:330.00–0.242:040.14–0.063:230.01–0.090:310.00–0.04
Phillips–Karlsson1:110.21–0.000:570.08–0.001:140.00–0.000:390.21–0.000:510.08–0.00
Cowen–Ceci0:490.02–0.001:300.37–0.000:400.00–0.00
Methot–Karlsson0:350.00–0.111:140.00–0.101:190.00–0.090:560.00–0.12
Methot–Ceci0:570.02–0.010:310.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMichalek FSmith FSpezza FGreening FCondra FZibanejad FRyan FTurris FMacArthur FNeil FKassian FPageau FMethot DCorvo DPhillips DCeci DCowen DKarlsson DAnderson GBarkov FBergenheim FBoyes FFleischmann FGoc FKopecky FHuberdeau FUpshall FBjugstad FBarch FHayes FMatthias FCampbell DGilbert DKulikov DWeaver DOlsen DGudbranson DClemmensen G
OTTFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA3226:220:492:0365
Erik KarlssonOTT3124:400:482:0078
Dmitry KulikovFLA2921:130:441:1553
Jason SpezzaOTT2720:440:461:4745
Cody CeciOTT2720:310:461:5334
Clarke MacArthurOTT2620:150:471:4127
Kyle TurrisOTT2520:130:491:4126
Jared CowenOTT2920:030:411:2047
Mike WeaverFLA2619:370:451:3952
Marc MethotOTT2419:190:481:3513
Scottie UpshallFLA2619:110:441:1284
Chris PhillipsOTT2718:570:421:5325
Milan MichalekOTT2518:390:451:3033
Bobby RyanOTT2418:110:451:4116
Erik GudbransonFLA2918:040:371:1234
Nick BjugstadFLA2416:580:421:0684
Aleksander BarkovFLA2416:510:421:2251
Tom GilbertFLA2316:400:431:2932
Joe CorvoOTT1716:350:592:1531
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2416:330:411:0783
Tomas KopeckyFLA2416:320:411:1474
Tomas FleischmannFLA2115:550:451:2282
Sean BergenheimFLA2415:550:401:2253
Colin GreeningOTT2115:520:451:1533
Marcel GocFLA2315:480:411:1175
Brad BoyesFLA2415:380:391:2432
Zack SmithOTT2415:120:381:1046
Dylan OlsenFLA2515:100:361:1623
Erik CondraOTT2112:500:371:3533
Chris NeilOTT1812:440:421:1352
Shawn MatthiasFLA1511:520:471:1711
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT1711:240:401:1332
Krys BarchFLA117:590:441:1010
Jimmy HayesFLA107:000:421:1010
Matt KassianOTT84:490:360:5711
Mika ZibanejadOTT52:380:320:4102