Sat, Dec 21, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 27:08 | 0.07 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 26:30 | 0.01 | 67.2% | +36.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 23:19 | 0.26 | 38.2% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.04 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.18 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.08 | 79.4% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:53 | 0.63 | 80.5% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.06 | 33.6% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.14 | 70.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.29 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.01 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.08 | 63.7% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.04 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 14:31 | 0.66 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:49 | 0.23 | 64.2% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.15 | 83.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.18 | 96.8% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 5:38 | 0.03 | 88.5% | +15.5 |
| W | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.33 | −1.7 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:54 | 0.06 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 25:07 | 0.15 | 58.6% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 23:15 | 0.36 | 22.6% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:02 | 0.05 | 23.2% | +21.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.04 | 32.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.07 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.18 | 13.9% | +37.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.01 | 67.8% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.06 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 65.6% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:37 | 0.63 | 70.2% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:55 | 0.43 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.04 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.24 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:02 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:48 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:28 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| – | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.33 | −1.7 | 20:00 | |
| O | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 1.82 | +0.8 | 45:00 |