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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 9, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Washington Capitals 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Laich–Brouwer–BackstromFehr–Ovechkin–GrabovskiChimera–Ward–JohanssonBeagle–Volpatti–WilsonChimera–Fehr–BeagleFehr–Ovechkin–BackstromAlzner–CarlsonGreen–OrlovErskine–CarrickOrlov–CarrickErskine–Carlson
Filppula–Purcell–Killorn5:250.06–0.175:590.34–0.342:080.23–0.060:440.00–0.006:350.51–0.288:120.17–0.28
St. Louis–Johnson–Palat5:270.17–0.171:460.11–0.173:480.17–0.177:520.23–0.283:410.23–0.170:490.00–0.00
Malone–Crombeen–Pyatt1:410.00–0.002:050.06–0.000:560.00–0.061:150.00–0.112:420.06–0.061:220.11–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Kucherov1:270.00–0.061:090.06–0.060:520.00–0.00
Malone–Thompson–Kucherov0:410.00–0.001:040.06–0.001:230.11–0.000:390.00–0.00
St. Louis–Thompson–Kucherov1:310.06–0.000:340.06–0.000:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Crombeen–Pyatt–Kucherov0:380.00–0.061:190.06–0.17
St. Louis–Malone–Crombeen1:160.00–0.00
Salo–Hedman3:310.06–0.065:020.28–0.232:480.00–0.177:140.23–0.392:440.06–0.062:230.11–0.060:420.06–0.00
Brewer–Barberio6:000.11–0.231:540.00–0.001:230.00–0.000:440.00–0.003:060.00–0.006:140.17–0.281:170.00–0.061:080.06–0.06
Cote–Carle1:050.00–0.063:050.34–0.061:590.00–0.061:460.28–0.061:450.06–0.062:570.00–0.06
Carle–Gudas0:430.11–0.003:170.23–0.231:190.23–0.062:440.11–0.17
Brewer–Carle1:410.06–0.061:010.11–0.061:190.17–0.111:420.06–0.11
Barberio–Hedman1:500.00–0.061:540.00–0.06
Carle–Barberio0:380.00–0.000:500.00–0.060:330.00–0.001:380.06–0.17
Brewer–Cote0:370.00–0.001:020.11–0.000:310.06–0.000:430.00–0.000:440.06–0.00
Salo–Brewer0:450.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Cote–Hedman0:340.06–0.000:340.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FPurcell FKillorn FFilppula FMalone FCrombeen FPyatt FThompson FKucherov FSalo DHedman DGudas DCarle DBrewer DBarberio DCote DLindback GBackstrom FBrouwer FLaich FOvechkin FFehr FGrabovski FVolpatti FWard FJohansson FBeagle FWilson FChimera FAlzner DCarlson DGreen DOrlov DErskine DCarrick DGrubauer G
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2326:081:082:0131
Victor HedmanTBL2722:340:501:5136
Karl AlznerWSH2121:521:022:0101
Eric BrewerTBL2521:250:511:5441
Troy BrouwerWSH2421:010:531:3424
Nicklas BackstromWSH2321:000:551:3413
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2320:530:541:5451
Mike GreenWSH2220:530:571:5006
Dmitry OrlovWSH2220:460:571:4205
Martin St. LouisTBL2720:300:462:0152
Matt CarleTBL2319:500:521:5840
Sami SaloTBL2719:430:441:1355
Brooks LaichWSH2519:080:461:1414
Teddy PurcellTBL2119:020:541:5450
Alex OvechkinWSH2218:360:511:5344
Mark BarberioTBL2117:270:501:5421
Ondrej PalatTBL2217:250:481:1351
Alex KillornTBL1916:560:531:5440
Eric FehrWSH2216:380:451:2722
Tyler JohnsonTBL2316:290:431:1351
Jason ChimeraWSH2016:110:491:2723
Mikhail GrabovskiWSH2216:100:441:4522
Marcus JohanssonWSH1916:080:511:4042
Joel WardWSH2115:400:451:1223
Nikita KucherovTBL1813:280:451:4120
Tom PyattTBL1613:210:501:2401
B.J. CrombeenTBL1612:590:491:2313
Connor CarrickWSH1512:590:521:3001
John ErskineWSH1512:510:511:2901
Nate ThompsonTBL1612:410:481:1611
Ryan MaloneTBL1512:170:491:2820
Jean-Philippe CoteTBL1512:170:491:4910
Jay BeagleWSH1410:040:432:0502
Tom WilsonWSH116:230:351:1101
Radko GudasTBL96:220:421:1120
Aaron VolpattiWSH95:370:371:1101