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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 23, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 50% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Semin–Staal–TlustyStaal–Skinner–LindholmMalhotra–Gerbe–BowmanDvorak–Ruutu–NashStaal–Bowman–SkinnerMalhotra–Bowman–SkinnerHainsey–LilesSekera–FaulkKomisarek–HarrisonHarrison–Faulk
Ott–Hodgson–Girgensons4:220.56–0.164:140.03–0.401:080.03–0.100:440.00–0.005:240.13–0.324:290.60–0.183:000.28–0.26
Moulson–Stafford–Ennis2:360.00–0.002:450.28–0.052:510.17–0.031:220.00–0.034:100.27–0.042:210.13–0.061:550.05–0.030:590.00–0.00
Foligno–Varone–Flynn1:140.00–0.001:280.14–0.001:450.00–0.002:060.05–0.041:210.00–0.002:380.52–0.00
Konopka–Ellis–Leino1:450.01–0.070:380.01–0.001:060.00–0.021:400.03–0.001:320.00–0.09
Leino–Foligno–Flynn1:340.01–0.03
Konopka–Foligno–Flynn1:080.00–0.211:080.00–0.21
Ehrhoff–Sulzer4:080.59–0.115:340.30–0.561:320.15–0.001:320.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:420.00–0.1710:080.24–0.712:210.70–0.072:580.54–0.19
Weber–McBain3:350.01–0.073:100.02–0.132:590.13–0.092:270.03–0.105:230.07–0.034:480.08–0.243:330.23–0.210:540.00–0.00
Tallinder–Myers4:430.29–0.161:390.00–0.052:260.11–0.062:150.15–0.052:010.07–0.007:380.48–0.233:030.09–0.11
Ehrhoff–Myers0:380.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOtt FHodgson FGirgensons FStafford FMoulson FEnnis FFlynn FFoligno FVarone FLeino FKonopka FEllis FTallinder DMyers DEhrhoff DSulzer DMcBain DWeber DEnroth GStaal FTlusty FSemin FLindholm FSkinner FStaal FGerbe FBowman FMalhotra FDvorak FRuutu FNash FSekera DFaulk DLiles DHainsey DKomisarek DHarrison DKhudobin G
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF2523:360:571:3324
Ron HainseyCAR2823:320:501:4952
Andrej SekeraCAR2723:270:522:4843
Justin FaulkCAR2821:550:471:2344
Tyler MyersBUF2721:280:481:2644
Steve OttBUF2321:150:551:3634
Eric StaalCAR2621:140:491:1963
John-Michael LilesCAR2621:110:491:3652
Alexander SeminCAR2520:180:491:1662
Drew StaffordBUF2219:550:541:4223
Jeff SkinnerCAR2019:180:581:5022
Jamie McBainBUF2219:150:531:4125
Jiri TlustyCAR2418:510:471:2343
Alexander SulzerBUF2218:260:501:1614
Cody HodgsonBUF2318:240:481:3952
Jordan StaalCAR2517:440:431:3023
Mike WeberBUF2017:060:511:4124
Henrik TallinderBUF2416:320:411:1924
Marcus FolignoBUF2116:220:471:4934
Elias LindholmCAR2016:130:491:5022
Tyler EnnisBUF2016:110:491:2912
Matt MoulsonBUF1715:570:561:2621
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2015:200:461:4021
Brian FlynnBUF1914:450:471:0945
Mike KomisarekCAR2313:500:361:4944
Nathan GerbeCAR1813:300:451:3434
Drayson BowmanCAR2013:120:401:2444
Jay HarrisonCAR2112:450:361:1333
Manny MalhotraCAR2111:500:341:1234
Ville LeinoBUF1311:000:511:4901
Phil VaroneBUF1410:360:451:2330
Zenon KonopkaBUF2010:130:311:0128
Riley NashCAR139:290:441:2720
Radek DvorakCAR169:270:351:0201
Matt EllisBUF148:500:381:1310
Tuomo RuutuCAR148:310:370:5620