Mon, Mar 10, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Phoenix Coyotes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
72%
14%
TBL winsPHX wins
Phoenix Coyotes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29:33 | 0.10 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:22 | 0.05 | 61.7% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:44 | 0.02 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.13 | 32.5% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.03 | 19.0% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.17 | 90.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.32 | 79.0% | +21.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.11 | 19.0% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.07 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.02 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.28 | 88.8% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.09 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.12 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.03 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.17 | 35.9% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.05 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.04 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.56 | +0.6 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:14 | 0.16 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:58 | 0.04 | 51.5% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.14 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.06 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:24 | 0.77 | 56.1% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.00 | 58.2% | +44.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 21:02 | 0.86 | 73.7% | +91.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.02 | 43.3% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.05 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.23 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.11 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:55 | 0.48 | 38.5% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:32 | 0.28 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.05 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.02 | 72.2% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.23 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:05 | 0.06 | 75.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.80 | −1.2 | 64:34 |