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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 10, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Phoenix Coyotes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.

TBL winsPHX wins

Phoenix Coyotes

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #230000129:330.1057.6%0.0
Zbynek MichalekD · #40110126:220.0561.7%+30.5
Michael StoneD · #26000−1123:440.0235.9%0.0
Keith YandleD · #3011−1221:340.1332.5%+21.9
Antoine VermetteC · #50011−1220:420.0319.0%+30.5
Mike RibeiroC · #630000120:400.1790.0%0.0
Shane DoanRW · #19011+1317:380.3279.0%+21.9
Mikkel BoedkerLW · #89101−1217:330.1119.0%+30.5
Lauri KorpikoskiLW · #28000−1015:570.0744.8%0.0
Radim VrbataRW · #170000015:500.0229.8%0.0
Chris SummersD · #20000+1015:250.0061.8%0.0
Brandon McMillanLW · #38101+1114:410.2888.8%+21.9
Jeff HalpernC · #140000113:590.0941.5%0.0
David MossRW · #18000−2113:590.1226.1%0.0
Brandon GormleyD · #33000+1113:220.0369.7%0.0
Martin EratRW · #10101+1112:130.1735.9%+27.8
Andy MieleC · #21000+1110:420.0526.2%0.0
Kyle ChipchuraC · #24000018:060.0447.4%0.0
Mike Smith#41W31283.9033.56+0.665:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Victor HedmanD · #77000−1326:140.1651.3%0.0
Matt CarleD · #250110125:580.0451.5%+44.3
Steven StamkosC · #91000+1223:310.1423.0%0.0
Alex KillornLW · #17000−1122:110.0615.7%0.0
Ryan CallahanRW · #24011+1421:240.7756.1%+26.5
Valtteri FilppulaC · #51011+1021:240.0058.2%+44.3
Ondrej PalatLW · #18213+2621:020.8673.7%+91.5
Eric BrewerD · #20110119:570.0243.3%+20.7
Michael KostkaD · #210000219:130.0548.0%0.0
Teddy PurcellLW · #160000118:190.2345.7%0.0
Mark BarberioD · #80000217:290.1151.6%0.0
Tyler JohnsonC · #9101−1316:550.4838.5%+20.7
JT BrownRW · #23000−1013:550.0041.6%0.0
Tom PyattLW · #110000311:320.2864.6%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #71000−1111:240.0540.2%0.0
Keith AulieD · #3011+1010:480.0272.2%+26.5
Nate ThompsonC · #440000010:050.2372.5%0.0
Sami SaloD · #6000013:050.0675.1%0.0
Ben Bishop#30O20173.8501.80−1.264:34