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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 10, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Phoenix Coyotes 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.

TBL winsPHX wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHX's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Doan–Ribeiro–McMillanErat–Vrbata–MieleVermette–Moss–BoedkerHalpern–Chipchura–KorpikoskiVermette–Korpikoski–BoedkerHalpern–Moss–ChipchuraHalpern–Erat–VrbataMichalek–Ekman-LarssonYandle–StoneSummers–Gormley
Filppula–Callahan–Palat6:110.09–0.202:520.18–0.030:410.34–0.000:540.00–0.000:370.00–0.003:000.04–0.025:290.57–0.022:540.02–0.09
Purcell–Killorn–Stamkos1:420.00–0.024:490.06–0.070:450.00–0.001:310.00–0.035:380.06–0.091:270.00–0.022:180.00–0.00
Johnson–Panik–Brown1:050.00–0.002:230.00–0.210:520.08–0.021:240.00–0.002:160.08–0.072:230.00–0.001:080.00–0.14
Thompson–Pyatt–Brown0:570.15–0.140:490.00–0.002:040.10–0.050:320.00–0.04
Killorn–Stamkos–Johnson1:370.00–0.001:370.00–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Killorn0:580.04–0.001:000.04–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Stamkos0:450.00–0.070:470.00–0.07
Kostka–Hedman4:300.02–0.021:490.11–0.052:270.00–0.035:310.00–0.182:380.11–0.022:160.02–0.03
Carle–Aulie2:010.21–0.021:570.15–0.181:030.00–0.001:190.11–0.002:230.00–0.023:090.36–0.131:520.11–0.04
Brewer–Barberio2:130.03–0.481:160.18–0.002:470.02–0.030:400.00–0.002:350.02–0.032:570.38–0.361:420.00–0.12
Carle–Barberio0:340.00–0.001:040.04–0.001:210.00–0.070:350.00–0.002:090.14–0.001:120.00–0.071:110.00–0.00
Brewer–Kostka0:560.00–0.001:170.07–0.000:560.08–0.020:470.08–0.021:390.07–0.000:310.00–0.00
Brewer–Carle0:590.00–0.020:380.00–0.040:460.00–0.020:380.00–0.001:480.00–0.070:520.00–0.00
Salo–Hedman1:080.04–0.000:330.00–0.030:580.04–0.000:360.04–0.000:340.00–0.001:310.04–0.03
Carle–Hedman0:390.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:460.00–0.14
Aulie–Hedman0:450.00–0.060:450.34–0.000:450.34–0.000:380.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPurcell FKillorn FStamkos FPalat FCallahan FFilppula FPyatt FThompson FJohnson FBrown FPanik FBrewer DCarle DSalo DHedman DBarberio DKostka DAulie DBishop GMoss FVermette FBoedker FDoan FMcMillan FRibeiro FErat FVrbata FMiele FHalpern FChipchura FKorpikoski FMichalek DEkman-Larsson DYandle DStone DSummers DGormley DSmith G
TBLPHXFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Oliver Ekman-LarssonPHX3629:330:491:54312
Zbynek MichalekPHX3826:220:421:16212
Victor HedmanTBL2926:140:542:5086
Matt CarleTBL3225:580:491:4036
Michael StonePHX3423:440:421:5074
Steven StamkosTBL3123:310:461:20101
Alex KillornTBL2822:110:481:4861
Keith YandlePHX3221:340:402:0264
Ryan CallahanTBL2621:240:491:1847
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2521:240:511:3637
Ondrej PalatTBL2921:020:441:4827
Antoine VermettePHX2920:420:431:1438
Mike RibeiroPHX2520:400:501:3770
Eric BrewerTBL2919:570:411:1553
Michael KostkaTBL2419:130:481:4162
Teddy PurcellTBL2218:190:501:2080
Shane DoanPHX2617:380:411:0881
Mikkel BoedkerPHX2517:330:421:1036
Mark BarberioTBL2517:290:421:1533
Tyler JohnsonTBL2516:550:411:2854
Lauri KorpikoskiPHX2015:570:481:2706
Radim VrbataPHX2215:500:431:2743
Chris SummersPHX2515:250:371:5020
Brandon McMillanPHX2214:410:401:0760
Jeff HalpernPHX2213:590:381:1616
David MossPHX2413:590:351:2124
JT BrownTBL1813:550:461:2734
Brandon GormleyPHX2313:220:351:0510
Martin EratPHX2012:130:371:1122
Tom PyattTBL1611:320:431:2002
Richard PanikTBL1711:240:401:2033
Keith AulieTBL1610:480:411:2014
Andy MielePHX1510:420:431:1531
Nate ThompsonTBL1410:050:431:2012
Kyle ChipchuraPHX138:060:371:0303
Sami SaloTBL33:051:022:0001