Tue, Mar 18, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
10%
45%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:07 | 0.14 | 40.1% | +4.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:21 | 0.46 | 39.2% | +4.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:15 | 0.36 | 63.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 20:54 | 0.35 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.11 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.10 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:45 | 0.37 | 63.4% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.27 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.19 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.16 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 4.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.03 | 34.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.11 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.02 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:17 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.40 | −0.6 | 57:45 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:09 | 0.04 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:35 | 0.00 | 52.2% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.18 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.04 | 51.2% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.33 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.05 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.27 | 64.6% | +8.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.14 | 58.8% | +8.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 16:03 | 0.81 | 52.0% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.05 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.25 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.03 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.05 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:43 | 0.15 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.01 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 60:00 |