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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 18, 2014·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Buffalo Sabres 1, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 78% of the time.

CGY winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stafford–Ennis–ConacherHodgson–Foligno–FlynnMitchell–D'Agostini–LeinoEllis–Scott–DeslauriersFoligno–Deslauriers–FlynnMitchell–D'Agostini–HodgsonEnnis–Deslauriers–ConacherEhrhoff–RistolainenTallinder–RuhwedelWeber–McBainEhrhoff–McBain
Cammalleri–Byron–Backlund2:550.04–0.000:360.19–0.000:360.14–0.000:530.00–0.001:230.00–0.010:310.00–0.005:300.48–0.001:450.11–0.01
Glencross–Colborne–Monahan1:340.21–0.000:390.38–0.002:320.15–0.010:510.00–0.010:320.00–0.014:540.60–0.010:520.15–0.00
Cammalleri–Colborne–Monahan1:080.00–0.053:240.16–0.060:450.00–0.122:080.06–0.120:540.00–0.062:110.10–0.050:450.00–0.00
McGrattan–Stajan–Glencross2:480.04–0.011:400.00–0.032:420.02–0.141:170.00–0.040:560.01–0.13
Byron–Backlund–Bouma1:580.05–0.002:090.12–0.000:300.00–0.001:040.01–0.002:240.17–0.001:420.00–0.00
Stajan–Galiardi–Bouma0:520.00–0.111:300.01–0.030:450.00–0.001:000.00–0.000:500.00–0.113:280.01–0.03
Westgarth–Galiardi–Hanowski0:530.00–0.000:380.00–0.002:190.00–0.091:150.00–0.091:010.00–0.002:060.00–0.00
McGrattan–Stajan–Bouma0:470.00–0.000:390.02–0.051:250.02–0.05
McGrattan–Glencross–Monahan0:500.17–0.001:150.17–0.02
Cammalleri–Stajan–Byron0:310.05–0.000:310.00–0.000:310.05–0.00
Giordano–Brodie12:300.50–0.201:270.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:540.15–0.001:100.00–0.007:310.16–0.124:080.24–0.005:170.69–0.081:420.15–0.00
Russell–Butler0:340.00–0.005:470.33–0.111:180.00–0.001:060.00–0.003:290.20–0.131:330.00–0.014:080.36–0.034:410.16–0.085:430.17–0.180:330.00–0.00
Smid–Wotherspoon4:130.15–0.113:370.00–0.280:490.00–0.002:230.02–0.064:050.06–0.375:220.02–0.062:230.09–0.02
Smid–Butler0:320.00–0.00
Russell–Wotherspoon0:360.00–0.060:410.00–0.060:340.00–0.00
Smid–Brodie0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcGrattan FStajan FGlencross FBacklund FBouma FByron FColborne FCammalleri FMonahan FWestgarth FGaliardi FHanowski FGiordano DBrodie DRussell DWotherspoon DSmid DButler DOrtio GStafford FEnnis FConacher FHodgson FFoligno FFlynn FLeino FMitchell FD'Agostini FEllis FDeslauriers FScott FEhrhoff DRistolainen DWeber DMcBain DRuhwedel DTallinder DLieuwen G
CGYBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF2725:230:562:0844
Mark GiordanoCGY2824:580:542:3343
TJ BrodieCGY3023:510:481:4243
Jamie McBainBUF2621:470:502:2324
Tyler EnnisBUF2421:150:531:2531
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2521:010:501:4034
Chris ButlerCGY2620:480:481:3712
Cory ConacherBUF2320:280:531:3923
Kris RussellCGY2320:250:532:3031
Michael CammalleriCGY2420:150:511:3343
Mikael BacklundCGY2518:480:451:2343
Drew StaffordBUF2418:430:471:1542
Marcus FolignoBUF2218:060:491:2233
Paul ByronCGY2617:580:411:1642
Matt StajanCGY2517:450:431:1512
Sean MonahanCGY2117:400:501:2361
Joe ColborneCGY2217:390:481:1451
Chad RuhwedelBUF2317:210:451:1522
Curtis GlencrossCGY2017:120:521:1930
Cody HodgsonBUF2417:090:431:1251
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1817:080:571:2413
Brian FlynnBUF2116:420:481:1632
Henrik TallinderBUF2216:410:461:0722
Matt D'AgostiniBUF2216:280:451:3015
Lance BoumaCGY2416:190:411:0212
Ladislav SmidCGY2115:490:451:3740
Mike WeberBUF2015:410:471:5704
Tyler WotherspoonCGY1814:090:471:3740
Torrey MitchellBUF1912:240:390:5904
TJ GaliardiCGY1811:420:390:5922
Brian McGrattanCGY1510:320:421:1500
Ville LeinoBUF128:240:420:5903
Matt EllisBUF107:110:431:1822
John ScottBUF96:280:431:1222
Kevin WestgarthCGY75:120:450:5810
Ben HanowskiCGY74:580:431:0310