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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 30, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 51% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Callahan–PalatPurcell–Stamkos–BrownKillorn–Johnson–KucherovThompson–Panik–BrownThompson–Johnson–PanikThompson–Stamkos–PanikCallahan–Johnson–PalatSalo–HedmanCarle–GudasBrewer–BarberioBarberio–HedmanHedman–GudasSalo–CarleBrewer–KostkaBrewer–GudasCarle–BarberioCarle–KostkaSalo–BrewerKostka–Hedman
Legwand–Franzen–Nyquist5:520.54–0.251:200.01–0.031:150.05–0.000:590.00–0.001:240.02–0.051:160.00–0.221:330.00–0.001:070.01–0.021:460.12–0.002:110.47–0.000:320.03–0.00
Miller–Abdelkader–Glendening6:590.20–0.171:070.00–0.061:070.00–0.000:390.00–0.022:550.00–0.151:450.00–0.002:390.07–0.381:030.00–0.000:500.13–0.060:450.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Tatar–Sheahan–Jurco0:590.00–0.021:410.03–0.003:080.16–0.061:550.02–0.020:350.01–0.001:070.13–0.000:460.00–0.000:420.00–0.060:320.00–0.000:500.07–0.00
Alfredsson–Helm–Andersson1:120.00–0.031:350.26–0.071:130.28–0.030:500.00–0.000:550.11–0.061:010.03–0.041:020.00–0.030:550.00–0.030:360.28–0.000:530.00–0.010:580.10–0.00
Quincey–DeKeyser6:180.20–0.124:140.52–0.051:240.11–0.060:460.00–0.031:290.11–0.132:420.00–0.071:410.01–0.052:020.07–0.101:210.00–0.081:130.03–0.001:060.45–0.001:470.27–0.00
Kronwall–Smith2:590.00–0.075:050.05–0.611:320.01–0.070:590.00–0.002:280.01–0.070:510.04–0.001:470.00–0.221:320.00–0.461:280.00–0.001:400.01–0.001:460.09–0.010:490.00–0.00
Kindl–Lashoff0:320.00–0.003:050.30–0.001:120.34–0.001:360.00–0.001:360.01–0.000:540.00–0.141:080.28–0.000:500.15–0.000:400.00–0.001:110.15–0.000:320.00–0.00
Kronwall–DeKeyser0:370.03–0.030:540.13–0.00
Quincey–Smith0:510.00–0.020:590.00–0.030:480.00–0.06
Kronwall–Kindl0:480.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FMiller FGlendening FLegwand FNyquist FFranzen FSheahan FTatar FJurco FAlfredsson FAndersson FHelm FQuincey DDeKeyser DSmith DKronwall DKindl DLashoff DGustavsson GPalat FCallahan FFilppula FJohnson FKillorn FKucherov FPurcell FStamkos FBrown FPanik FThompson FSalo DHedman DCarle DGudas DBrewer DKostka DBarberio DBishop G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Niklas KronwallDET2726:270:591:4022
Danny DeKeyserDET3225:540:492:2514
Victor HedmanTBL2625:060:582:3375
Kyle QuinceyDET2822:430:491:3114
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2422:310:562:1252
Ryan CallahanTBL2421:440:542:1252
Steven StamkosTBL2220:590:572:2841
Ondrej PalatTBL2420:150:511:2455
Matt CarleTBL2619:450:461:4023
Brendan SmithDET2519:180:461:1832
Tyler JohnsonTBL2419:080:481:4033
Luke GlendeningDET1918:360:591:4022
Drew MillerDET1918:140:581:4022
David LegwandDET2317:260:451:1803
Teddy PurcellTBL2116:260:471:1654
Gustav NyquistDET2216:100:441:1003
Eric BrewerTBL2115:580:461:3352
Johan FranzenDET2315:570:421:1204
JT BrownTBL2115:210:441:0262
Sami SaloTBL2115:040:431:1333
Mark BarberioTBL1614:280:541:3030
Darren HelmDET1813:530:461:3215
Radko GudasTBL1913:360:431:4333
Justin AbdelkaderDET1513:330:541:4110
Joakim AnderssonDET1813:100:441:1715
Jakub KindlDET1913:070:411:2152
Brian LashoffDET1912:290:391:3244
Michael KostkaTBL1312:230:571:4021
Tomas TatarDET1912:150:391:1580
Alex KillornTBL1812:120:411:4032
Riley SheahanDET1911:510:371:0080
Tomas JurcoDET1811:400:391:0280
Nikita KucherovTBL1611:050:421:4022
Richard PanikTBL1310:590:511:3321
Daniel AlfredssonDET159:270:381:0912
Nate ThompsonTBL138:460:401:0721