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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 5, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 3, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 72% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Spezza–Hemsky–MichalekMacArthur–Turris–StoneNeil–Smith–ZibanejadCondra–Hoffman–PageauMethot–KarlssonGryba–WierciochPhillips–CeciPhillips–KarlssonKarlsson–WierciochPhillips–Gryba
St. Louis–Richards–Boyle6:240.20–0.162:190.03–0.001:110.05–0.001:410.10–0.176:140.29–0.123:130.09–0.002:400.03–0.280:300.05–0.001:030.00–0.00
Nash–Hagelin–Stepan4:110.11–0.251:320.26–0.023:330.59–0.062:140.15–0.025:230.31–0.023:230.74–0.032:200.13–0.06
Pouliot–Brassard–Zuccarello1:090.04–0.074:200.16–0.431:320.13–0.062:320.63–0.004:000.66–0.482:290.04–0.002:490.26–0.030:360.00–0.00
Moore–Carcillo–Dorsett0:420.00–0.091:100.00–0.052:420.05–0.211:400.00–0.002:090.00–0.141:590.01–0.052:490.05–0.16
Girardi–Moore3:450.07–0.106:060.15–0.473:060.49–0.151:460.00–0.176:100.17–0.504:480.50–0.053:460.03–0.310:360.00–0.050:540.00–0.00
Staal–Stralman4:580.08–0.632:360.31–0.023:060.24–0.051:210.01–0.008:560.55–0.522:290.16–0.021:370.13–0.000:310.00–0.350:570.00–0.00
Klein–Diaz1:000.00–0.003:130.00–0.020:320.00–0.002:050.00–0.022:380.00–0.00
Staal–Diaz0:500.26–0.021:290.05–0.001:260.26–0.050:380.00–0.000:350.05–0.00
Klein–Girardi1:300.02–0.041:310.03–0.060:520.02–0.001:440.01–0.10
Staal–Girardi0:590.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:430.06–0.001:060.00–0.000:390.06–0.00
Klein–Staal0:370.02–0.000:360.11–0.001:030.13–0.00
Klein–Stralman0:540.12–0.00
Stralman–Diaz0:300.01–0.120:300.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:300.01–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStepan FNash FHagelin FBrassard FZuccarello FPouliot FRichards FBoyle FSt. Louis FMoore FCarcillo FDorsett FStralman DStaal DGirardi DMoore DDiaz DKlein DLundqvist GMichalek FSpezza FHemsky FMacArthur FStone FTurris FSmith FZibanejad FNeil FHoffman FCondra FPageau FMethot DKarlsson DPhillips DCeci DWiercioch DGryba DLehner G
NYROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2627:181:032:5343
Dan GirardiNYR3426:110:461:2368
Marc MethotOTT3026:110:521:5875
Marc StaalNYR3223:060:431:2637
John MooreNYR3021:330:431:2562
Martin St. LouisNYR2519:170:461:2283
Anton StralmanNYR3119:050:371:1366
Chris PhillipsOTT2618:530:441:1236
Brad RichardsNYR2518:470:451:4084
Milan MichalekOTT2418:450:471:3553
Derek StepanNYR2818:410:401:0645
Rick NashNYR2718:130:401:1734
Patrick WierciochOTT2517:400:421:5925
Jason SpezzaOTT2217:070:471:1754
Carl HagelinNYR2416:430:421:0215
Cody CeciOTT2216:160:441:1026
Ales HemskyOTT2216:090:441:1555
Brian BoyleNYR2315:590:421:1375
Zack SmithOTT2315:550:421:3453
Kyle TurrisOTT2215:420:432:0024
Clarke MacArthurOTT2215:190:421:3624
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2615:100:351:1583
Derick BrassardNYR2514:580:361:1373
Mika ZibanejadOTT2114:430:420:5941
Mark StoneOTT2014:310:442:0424
Erik CondraOTT2214:200:391:2122
Benoit PouliotNYR2514:180:341:0883
Eric GrybaOTT2213:550:381:2524
Kevin KleinNYR2213:500:381:2532
Raphael DiazNYR1913:080:410:5671
Chris NeilOTT1811:540:401:2731
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT1811:150:381:0111
Dominic MooreNYR1610:590:410:5911
Mike HoffmanOTT1710:070:361:0011
Derek DorsettNYR159:150:371:0311
Daniel CarcilloNYR138:470:410:5811