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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 11, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Tlusty–BoychukDwyer–Gerbe–StaalNash–Skinner–LindholmMalhotra–Bowman–LoktionovGerbe–Staal–LindholmLiles–FaulkHainsey–BellemoreKomisarek–HarrisonHarrison–FaulkHainsey–LilesBellemore–Faulk
Datsyuk–Franzen–Abdelkader3:580.14–0.011:210.00–0.001:550.00–0.023:220.05–0.003:220.03–0.020:470.00–0.010:400.09–0.00
Nyquist–Tatar–Sheahan1:330.24–0.001:100.00–0.001:580.39–0.002:150.07–0.001:000.05–0.002:570.22–0.002:000.46–0.000:570.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Legwand–Miller–Glendening1:120.00–0.003:130.36–0.001:160.00–0.001:040.00–0.023:110.16–0.001:560.20–0.001:500.00–0.02
Alfredsson–Helm–Jurco0:360.12–0.001:510.00–0.001:140.00–0.002:420.15–0.022:530.00–0.222:070.12–0.001:210.15–0.00
Miller–Helm–Glendening2:250.24–0.030:480.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:560.18–0.032:110.05–0.000:480.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Tatar–Sheahan–Jurco0:510.00–0.001:320.00–0.160:300.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Alfredsson–Datsyuk–Abdelkader0:400.02–0.000:530.00–0.011:080.05–0.011:010.16–0.00
Legwand–Franzen–Nyquist0:490.00–0.040:400.06–0.000:540.06–0.001:160.00–0.04
Datsyuk–Franzen–Nyquist0:340.00–0.00
Quincey–DeKeyser3:310.09–0.014:340.00–0.013:550.00–0.131:110.06–0.000:300.00–0.006:330.06–0.214:320.00–0.011:230.00–0.010:390.09–0.00
Kronwall–Smith6:280.40–0.032:570.20–0.001:160.00–0.001:400.00–0.004:220.27–0.034:560.35–0.272:130.05–0.000:390.00–0.070:360.00–0.00
Kindl–Lashoff1:110.16–0.002:580.39–0.024:540.22–0.023:520.22–0.002:090.02–0.023:270.58–0.020:400.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Quincey–Smith1:270.13–0.180:440.00–0.001:290.05–0.000:490.08–0.18
Kronwall–Kindl0:400.00–0.001:010.14–0.00
Quincey–Kindl0:400.00–0.030:350.00–0.03
Kronwall–DeKeyser0:480.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FDatsyuk FFranzen FNyquist FSheahan FTatar FLegwand FMiller FGlendening FAlfredsson FJurco FHelm FSmith DKronwall DQuincey DDeKeyser DKindl DLashoff DHoward GStaal FTlusty FBoychuk FStaal FGerbe FDwyer FLoktionov FBowman FMalhotra FLindholm FNash FSkinner FLiles DFaulk DHainsey DBellemore DKomisarek DHarrison DWard G
DETCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR3126:380:521:5545
Niklas KronwallDET3123:320:462:2024
Ron HainseyCAR3023:160:471:2536
John-Michael LilesCAR2822:050:471:4943
Kyle QuinceyDET2521:360:521:4450
Brendan SmithDET2919:430:411:1522
Danny DeKeyserDET2719:230:431:4451
Brett BellemoreCAR2419:190:481:2635
Pavel DatsyukDET2419:060:482:0243
Johan FranzenDET2418:020:452:0252
Eric StaalCAR2417:390:441:1831
Jakub KindlDET1917:270:551:2942
Gustav NyquistDET2216:530:461:5561
Jay HarrisonCAR2116:470:481:5526
Tomas TatarDET1916:230:521:4041
Patrick DwyerCAR2416:210:411:5535
Riley NashCAR2516:150:391:2421
Jiri TlustyCAR2316:140:421:1022
Elias LindholmCAR2415:350:390:5822
Zach BoychukCAR2115:340:441:1831
Riley SheahanDET1915:240:491:4141
Luke GlendeningDET1915:200:481:2955
Jordan StaalCAR2615:060:351:0934
Drew MillerDET1914:530:471:0765
Nathan GerbeCAR2214:440:401:0523
Brian LashoffDET2014:370:441:2052
Justin AbdelkaderDET2214:350:401:0632
Jeff SkinnerCAR2214:220:390:5822
Darren HelmDET1913:230:421:1761
David LegwandDET1712:340:441:5562
Tomas JurcoDET1612:180:461:1240
Andrei LoktionovCAR1611:580:451:0925
Manny MalhotraCAR1911:490:371:13111
Daniel AlfredssonDET1611:280:431:2741
Mike KomisarekCAR1611:250:431:1303
Drayson BowmanCAR1510:080:411:0816