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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 14, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New Jersey Devils 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jagr–Cammalleri–ZajacRyder–Clowe–HenriqueElias–Zubrus–HavlatRuutu–Tootoo–GiontaZubrus–Ryder–HenriqueClowe–Gionta–HenriqueGreene–SeversonSalvador–ZidlickyGelinas–MerrillSalvador–MerrillGreene–MerrillSalvador–SeversonZidlicky–Greene
Callahan–Stamkos–Palat5:300.08–0.741:010.00–0.002:430.02–0.020:390.00–0.096:030.00–0.823:330.08–0.120:450.02–0.00
Filppula–Killorn–Johnson3:470.08–0.121:410.06–0.052:290.28–0.042:240.09–0.003:060.04–0.084:330.41–0.041:500.06–0.120:550.04–0.00
Morrow–Boyle–Connolly1:250.00–0.044:520.08–0.001:140.00–0.150:510.00–0.002:500.02–0.002:280.06–0.131:320.00–0.041:130.03–0.00
Kucherov–Namestnikov–Brown1:350.00–0.031:360.11–0.010:400.00–0.342:040.00–0.000:420.05–0.001:020.00–0.001:250.00–0.352:510.11–0.031:080.05–0.000:400.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Callahan–Stamkos–Connolly1:100.00–0.011:120.00–0.01
Carle–Garrison1:580.00–0.014:340.11–0.003:100.02–0.152:000.18–0.000:550.05–0.000:410.00–0.095:110.04–0.045:050.06–0.242:260.11–0.002:180.20–0.000:300.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman5:120.05–0.771:010.07–0.052:220.28–0.020:590.03–0.003:490.00–0.783:170.37–0.000:330.07–0.040:380.00–0.02
Brewer–Sustr2:430.09–0.032:080.06–0.010:310.00–0.041:410.00–0.002:330.01–0.082:320.11–0.042:270.04–0.030:530.03–0.00
Carle–Sustr1:180.00–0.001:060.00–0.340:540.00–0.340:310.00–0.00
Hedman–Sustr1:180.02–0.120:540.00–0.010:330.02–0.000:490.00–0.120:560.00–0.01
Brewer–Stralman1:100.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FKillorn FFilppula FMorrow FBoyle FConnolly FStamkos FPalat FCallahan FKucherov FNamestnikov FBrown FStralman DHedman DGarrison DCarle DBrewer DSustr DNabokov GZajac FCammalleri FJagr FHenrique FRyder FClowe FZubrus FGionta FElias FHavlat FRuutu FTootoo FZidlicky DSalvador DGreene DSeverson DMerrill DGelinas DSchneider G
TBLNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Bryce SalvadorNJD2924:550:522:1524
Andy GreeneNJD2922:570:471:3318
Matt CarleTBL2322:210:581:3652
Steven StamkosTBL1922:011:101:5142
Victor HedmanTBL2421:350:541:3843
Jon MerrillNJD2220:180:552:1523
Ryan CallahanTBL1920:031:031:3662
Marek ZidlickyNJD2720:010:441:1941
Jason GarrisonTBL2419:590:501:2953
Ondrej PalatTBL2019:400:591:3263
Damon SeversonNJD2919:370:411:18310
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2119:260:561:3461
Travis ZajacNJD2419:080:481:3928
Anton StralmanTBL2319:000:501:3824
Michael CammalleriNJD2418:370:471:3827
Adam HenriqueNJD2217:350:481:2943
Jaromir JagrNJD2017:260:521:4014
Patrik EliasNJD2216:430:461:2914
Tyler JohnsonTBL1916:140:511:2823
Ryane CloweNJD1815:520:531:1842
Andrej SustrTBL1415:201:062:0000
Alex KillornTBL1715:150:541:2821
Eric BrewerTBL1614:480:562:0021
Michael RyderNJD1614:050:531:1442
Dainius ZubrusNJD2013:440:411:1103
Martin HavlatNJD2113:100:381:1514
Eric GelinasNJD1712:430:451:3222
Brian BoyleTBL1812:330:421:0943
JT BrownTBL1412:140:521:1303
Nikita KucherovTBL1311:340:531:1310
Stephen GiontaNJD1611:240:431:2201
Brett ConnollyTBL1611:140:421:1241
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1310:350:491:1300
Brenden MorrowTBL159:330:381:0541
Tuomo RuutuNJD97:330:501:2100
Jordin TootooNJD86:120:471:2100