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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 6, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 3, Dallas Stars 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 64% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Neal–ForsbergGaustad–Nystrom–BeckCullen–Roy–SmithJokinen–Wilson–JarnkrokWilson–Beck–JarnkrokWeber–JosiBartley–JonesEllis–EkholmEkholm–JonesWeber–Ekholm
Eaves–Benn–Seguin3:420.12–0.090:390.02–0.002:520.25–0.081:570.01–0.065:190.29–0.172:380.04–0.011:080.06–0.030:350.00–0.00
Spezza–Hemsky–Nichushkin0:520.12–0.003:240.06–0.062:110.00–0.030:440.10–0.002:310.08–0.013:050.01–0.071:430.38–0.000:380.00–0.00
Cole–Horcoff–Sceviour1:160.00–0.132:100.19–0.242:090.12–0.041:290.12–0.091:280.19–0.022:120.00–0.25
Fiddler–Roussel–Garbutt1:340.25–0.090:530.03–0.002:030.10–0.552:220.18–0.001:260.20–0.631:220.00–0.01
Spezza–Hemsky–Benn1:460.29–0.001:260.00–0.071:320.00–0.083:180.29–0.081:310.00–0.00
Eaves–Roussel–Seguin1:050.02–0.011:550.22–0.072:540.32–0.081:120.00–0.00
Horcoff–Fiddler–Sceviour1:030.00–0.021:100.08–0.140:420.00–0.002:070.08–0.14
Daley–Goligoski8:040.67–0.322:010.03–0.011:520.75–0.192:250.10–0.049:150.67–0.292:510.01–0.103:241.01–0.17
Benn–Dillon1:310.00–0.020:370.05–0.007:320.35–0.604:390.26–0.074:150.44–0.086:510.11–0.582:380.08–0.021:080.01–0.02
Gonchar–Oleksiak6:580.28–0.352:130.13–0.061:020.00–0.005:160.21–0.242:390.20–0.052:350.00–0.23
Daley–Benn0:300.01–0.001:000.04–0.000:380.18–0.03
Goligoski–Dillon0:350.00–0.010:510.00–0.01
Daley–Dillon1:130.11–0.000:510.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGarbutt FRoussel FFiddler FBenn FEaves FSeguin FSpezza FHorcoff FNichushkin FHemsky FSceviour FCole FDaley DGoligoski DBenn DDillon DOleksiak DGonchar DLehtonen GForsberg FNeal FRibeiro FCullen FSmith FRoy FNystrom FGaustad FJokinen FJarnkrok FWilson FBeck FEllis DWeber DEkholm DJosi DJones DBartley DRinne G
DALNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH3828:400:452:0337
Roman JosiNSH3626:460:452:3556
Trevor DaleyDAL3325:120:461:3774
Alex GoligoskiDAL3422:410:401:2054
Jordie BennDAL3322:390:411:1734
Brenden DillonDAL2921:520:451:2424
Jamie BennDAL2820:460:451:2043
Tyler SeguinDAL2719:520:441:4344
Seth JonesNSH2318:440:492:2233
Ales HemskyDAL2318:340:481:1740
Jason SpezzaDAL2418:220:461:1460
Mike RibeiroNSH2318:030:471:1642
Colin WilsonNSH2217:140:471:1450
Patrick EavesDAL2416:530:420:5943
James NealNSH2316:380:431:1545
Victor BartleyNSH1916:050:512:2213
Antoine RousselDAL2415:250:391:1846
Paul GaustadNSH2015:220:461:27011
Mattias EkholmNSH2615:080:351:1533
Eric NystromNSH1814:480:491:2708
Shawn HorcoffDAL2214:310:401:2542
Craig SmithNSH2114:260:411:1351
Taylor BeckNSH1714:220:511:2707
Olli JokinenNSH2214:170:391:0052
Ryan EllisNSH2113:510:401:2632
Filip ForsbergNSH2213:440:371:0343
Colton SceviourDAL2113:420:391:1331
Matt CullenNSH2013:230:401:1951
Derek RoyNSH2013:180:401:0652
Sergei GoncharDAL1713:120:471:2052
Calle JarnkrokNSH2013:110:401:0250
Jamie OleksiakDAL1712:470:451:3532
Valeri NichushkinDAL1612:390:471:1720
Vernon FiddlerDAL2212:070:330:5336
Ryan GarbuttDAL148:310:371:1623
Erik ColeDAL117:090:391:0621