Thu, Nov 6, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Colorado Avalanche 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
28%
58%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 31:07 | 0.03 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:12 | 0.06 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.06 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 22:24 | 0.28 | 50.8% | +35.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:43 | 0.58 | 52.6% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 20:35 | 0.91 | 45.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:24 | 0.30 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.17 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.01 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.13 | 32.3% | +46.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 18:34 | 0.92 | 65.1% | +65.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.12 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.13 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.50 | 94.4% | +65.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:38 | 0.08 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:55 | 0.00 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.24 | +0.2 | 64:49 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:26 | 0.14 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.04 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.14 | 24.5% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:45 | 0.22 | 44.9% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.02 | 53.7% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.11 | 69.4% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:19 | 0.50 | 52.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:17 | 0.47 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:44 | 0.72 | 53.7% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.07 | 40.5% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 32.7% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.32 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.02 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.25 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.05 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.10 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.06 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 4.28 | +1.3 | 65:00 |