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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 10, 2014·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Calgary Flames 1, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 59% of the time.

CAR winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jones–Glencross–MonahanHudler–Gaudreau–GranlundJones–Gaudreau–MonahanBouma–Bollig–JoorisSetoguchi–Byron–ReinhartHudler–Glencross–ByronSetoguchi–Bouma–JoorisBollig–Reinhart–GranlundByron–Bouma–ReinhartHudler–Glencross–GranlundBouma–Granlund–JoorisWideman–RussellGiordano–BrodieEngelland–Smid
Gerbe–Nash–Lindholm4:190.57–0.001:020.00–0.002:430.00–0.160:320.13–0.001:030.04–0.001:120.00–0.121:030.02–0.030:330.03–0.000:510.00–0.005:040.09–0.136:170.54–0.103:360.16–0.05
McClement–Semin–Skinner0:310.18–0.000:560.49–0.001:180.21–0.020:500.21–0.010:380.00–0.000:590.08–0.002:430.28–0.082:200.41–0.022:120.57–0.01
Staal–Boychuk–Rask1:230.14–0.140:550.00–0.451:560.08–0.001:120.02–0.160:410.00–0.000:360.00–0.003:160.07–0.741:500.00–0.001:570.18–0.01
Semin–Staal–Skinner1:480.00–0.001:080.08–0.011:050.00–0.070:520.00–0.171:020.01–0.015:030.12–0.17
Tlusty–Terry–Rask0:330.12–0.003:360.10–0.502:000.09–0.060:480.00–0.002:060.13–0.50
McClement–Dwyer–Boychuk2:220.00–0.570:450.00–0.021:200.00–0.020:460.00–0.021:440.00–0.55
Dwyer–Tlusty–Terry0:490.00–0.020:520.00–0.000:390.00–0.001:590.00–0.020:570.00–0.00
Sekera–Faulk4:550.63–0.132:360.01–0.453:440.04–0.091:060.00–0.001:030.04–0.000:380.00–0.001:130.08–0.006:160.15–0.586:240.61–0.063:360.13–0.00
Hainsey–Liles4:010.17–0.511:100.53–0.001:080.00–0.050:480.00–0.090:390.04–0.001:080.02–0.000:360.00–0.000:520.00–0.170:510.00–0.004:450.09–0.156:200.18–0.174:120.53–0.50
Gleason–Harrison2:070.12–0.110:530.18–0.000:410.00–0.052:140.13–0.572:120.23–0.022:030.23–0.161:110.00–0.030:440.03–0.000:400.00–0.005:480.33–0.354:130.29–0.064:260.28–0.60
Hainsey–Harrison0:320.10–0.000:440.10–0.010:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGerbe FLindholm FNash FTerry FTlusty FRask FSemin FStaal FSkinner FMcClement FBoychuk FDwyer FSekera DFaulk DLiles DHainsey DGleason DHarrison DWard GJones FGlencross FMonahan FGaudreau FHudler FGranlund FSetoguchi FByron FReinhart FBouma FBollig FJooris FGiordano DBrodie DRussell DWideman DSmid DEngelland DHiller G
CARCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

TJ BrodieCGY3222:500:431:1949
Mark GiordanoCGY3322:070:401:1948
Justin FaulkCAR3021:390:431:4572
Andrej SekeraCAR2821:340:461:4562
Dennis WidemanCGY3021:160:431:5665
Kris RussellCGY3221:070:401:4465
Ron HainseyCAR2420:260:512:1733
Nathan GerbeCAR2518:560:451:2183
John-Michael LilesCAR2518:560:452:1752
Jay HarrisonCAR2618:490:431:3523
Riley NashCAR2718:290:411:2184
Elias LindholmCAR2518:240:441:2183
Jiri HudlerCGY2518:070:431:1353
Sean MonahanCGY2717:590:401:1547
Alexander SeminCAR2317:530:471:4070
Eric StaalCAR2617:510:411:2653
Jeff SkinnerCAR2317:330:461:5160
Curtis GlencrossCGY2617:220:401:2056
Tim GleasonCAR2617:100:401:1524
Ladislav SmidCGY2416:520:421:4422
David JonesCGY2616:510:391:1646
Johnny GaudreauCGY2316:360:431:3733
Deryk EngellandCGY2315:540:411:4432
Markus GranlundCGY2315:150:401:1733
Jay McClementCAR2215:120:411:0734
Lance BoumaCGY2114:540:431:3134
Paul ByronCGY2214:540:411:0932
Josh JoorisCGY2214:470:400:5655
Victor RaskCAR2414:460:371:1744
Zach BoychukCAR1912:290:391:1414
Max ReinhartCGY1610:520:411:0702
Jiri TlustyCAR1710:110:361:1933
Devin SetoguchiCGY179:280:330:5112
Chris TerryCAR169:180:351:1733
Patrick DwyerCAR159:150:371:0026
Brandon BolligCGY138:450:401:1620