Sat, Nov 15, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
8%
36%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:44 | 0.11 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.03 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.12 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.34 | 38.4% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.32 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.01 | 39.4% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 18:43 | 0.19 | 38.5% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.05 | 62.4% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.24 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.50 | 56.6% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 14:05 | 0.47 | 59.1% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.02 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.27 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.04 | 90.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.28 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.04 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.09 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 29 | 6 | .829 | 3.47 | −2.5 | 59:41 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:25 | 0.26 | 53.5% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.01 | 47.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 51.4% | +7.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.29 | 65.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.02 | 63.3% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.04 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.01 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.37 | 63.4% | +30.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16:11 | 1.13 | 62.3% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.05 | 62.1% | +1.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.51 | 62.1% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.15 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.03 | 21.6% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.04 | 59.0% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:30 | 0.25 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.20 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.11 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.02 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.11 | +1.1 | 60:00 |