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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 15, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kessel–van Riemsdyk–BozakSmith–Panik–LeivoClarkson–Holland–PanikClarkson–Winnik–KadriSantorelli–Komarov–HollandWinnik–Kadri–LeivoSantorelli–Komarov–SmithPhaneuf–FransonPolak–GardinerRobidas–GardinerRobidas–RiellyPolak–RiellyGardiner–RiellyRobidas–PolakPhaneuf–Polak
Stewart–Hodgson–Foligno3:250.31–0.311:260.00–0.011:010.00–0.041:220.06–0.032:190.24–0.370:480.01–0.002:510.03–0.581:060.16–0.000:470.00–0.002:110.20–0.003:040.19–0.18
Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons4:290.68–0.191:400.00–0.152:030.11–0.030:450.00–0.001:580.00–0.093:340.68–0.192:430.10–0.152:270.00–0.091:110.00–0.030:410.01–0.001:000.00–0.00
McCormick–Stafford–Deslauriers1:230.00–0.071:310.02–0.111:160.13–0.080:490.43–0.121:440.02–0.001:250.00–0.001:170.03–0.081:590.02–0.112:470.56–0.190:420.02–0.00
Gionta–Mitchell–Flynn1:180.01–0.061:400.00–0.021:220.01–0.010:560.00–0.311:130.13–0.020:310.02–0.020:470.00–0.002:310.02–0.342:490.02–0.131:040.13–0.001:050.00–0.02
Gionta–Stafford–Deslauriers1:050.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Strachan–Myers9:130.97–0.540:510.02–0.001:350.00–0.121:270.00–0.181:000.00–0.000:330.00–0.167:280.82–0.652:160.17–0.081:400.00–0.030:580.00–0.071:070.00–0.180:500.00–0.000:420.02–0.00
Ristolainen–Zadorov1:220.00–0.031:160.00–0.112:060.00–0.152:290.10–0.121:560.13–0.001:540.24–0.462:120.01–0.121:100.00–0.392:390.01–0.153:040.13–0.173:380.24–0.182:440.07–0.00
Meszaros–Weber0:440.02–0.003:370.00–0.022:010.13–0.070:550.39–0.311:270.02–0.021:030.02–0.001:340.00–0.002:150.02–0.323:250.02–0.022:030.02–0.001:530.52–0.002:080.00–0.030:370.00–0.06
Strachan–Meszaros0:330.00–0.060:320.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcCormick FStafford FDeslauriers FGirgensons FEnnis FGionta FMitchell FFlynn FMoulson FFoligno FHodgson FStewart FStrachan DMyers DZadorov DRistolainen DWeber DMeszaros DNeuvirth Gvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FClarkson FPanik FHolland FSmith FSantorelli FKomarov FWinnik FLeivo FKadri FPhaneuf DFranson DPolak DGardiner DRielly DRobidas DReimer G
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tyler MyersBUF3025:250:512:0228
Jake GardinerTOR2523:440:572:0145
Tyson StrachanBUF3122:540:441:2138
Roman PolakTOR2521:280:521:5774
Dion PhaneufTOR2820:170:431:3043
James van RiemsdykTOR2519:440:471:5492
Tyler BozakTOR2719:180:431:3583
Andrej MeszarosBUF2219:090:521:3543
Morgan RiellyTOR2419:070:481:3573
Phil KesselTOR2518:430:451:3492
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2318:300:481:1637
Cody FransonTOR2718:210:411:3441
Mike WeberBUF2418:140:461:3924
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2718:090:401:2455
Peter HollandTOR2317:500:471:4982
Stephane RobidasTOR2217:030:472:0845
Nikita ZadorovBUF2516:190:391:2465
Tyler EnnisBUF1916:180:512:1354
Drew StaffordBUF2016:110:491:5150
David ClarksonTOR2115:500:451:4682
Cody McCormickBUF2215:170:421:1535
Matt MoulsonBUF1815:090:512:1353
Nazem KadriTOR2014:050:421:3052
Cody HodgsonBUF1713:510:491:3343
Brian FlynnBUF2113:500:401:0117
Richard PanikTOR1613:140:501:4974
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1512:580:521:5130
Daniel WinnikTOR1912:530:411:1835
Trevor SmithTOR1612:340:471:2455
Chris StewartBUF1612:300:471:3853
Marcus FolignoBUF1612:260:471:1253
Torrey MitchellBUF2012:160:371:0125
Brian GiontaBUF1711:430:411:5123
Josh LeivoTOR1510:530:441:1044
Leo KomarovTOR1810:520:361:2954
Mike SantorelliTOR1510:010:401:1744