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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 15, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Islanders 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Okposo–Bailey–TavaresNielsen–Grabovski–KuleminLee–Nelson–StromeMartin–Cizikas–ConacherHamonic–de HaanBoychuk–LeddyVisnovsky–HickeyVisnovsky–Hamonic
Filppula–Callahan–Stamkos9:030.15–0.190:590.14–0.001:040.00–0.001:270.00–0.006:110.04–0.112:340.04–0.083:350.14–0.000:400.00–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov1:310.04–0.034:590.29–0.312:250.14–0.282:490.24–0.233:190.05–0.224:050.14–0.18
Killorn–Namestnikov–Paquette2:130.08–0.203:170.12–0.052:130.08–0.022:120.15–0.003:380.07–0.252:250.06–0.02
Morrow–Boyle–Brown2:080.12–0.192:580.00–0.002:460.12–0.022:130.00–0.211:430.00–0.00
Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov0:420.03–0.000:420.03–0.00
Carle–Stralman7:480.08–0.141:430.12–0.401:020.00–0.091:530.00–0.024:400.13–0.133:260.04–0.415:340.00–0.11
Brewer–Gudas0:580.02–0.003:470.10–0.243:510.18–0.242:360.00–0.003:470.07–0.146:010.07–0.303:290.17–0.10
Garrison–Sustr1:170.00–0.004:460.27–0.102:110.06–0.073:080.08–0.006:050.21–0.182:540.00–0.003:020.20–0.030:400.00–0.00
Carle–Sustr1:150.03–0.000:590.05–0.02
Brewer–Stralman0:380.03–0.000:500.00–0.000:520.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCallahan FFilppula FStamkos FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FKillorn FNamestnikov FPaquette FMorrow FBoyle FBrown FStralman DCarle DGarrison DSustr DBrewer DGudas DBishop GBailey FOkposo FTavares FNielsen FKulemin FGrabovski FStrome FLee FNelson FMartin FCizikas FConacher FHamonic Dde Haan DVisnovsky DHickey DLeddy DBoychuk DJohnson G
TBLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Anton StralmanTBL2722:560:511:2625
Matt CarleTBL2722:190:501:3006
Jason GarrisonTBL2620:590:481:2457
Johnny BoychukNYI2520:470:501:3252
Calvin de HaanNYI2319:540:521:5423
Steven StamkosTBL2419:520:501:2945
Nick LeddyNYI2419:490:501:4752
Travis HamonicNYI2319:340:512:2832
John TavaresNYI2319:260:511:2970
Frans NielsenNYI2319:160:501:3344
Josh BaileyNYI2319:050:501:1070
Lubomir VisnovskyNYI1919:041:001:4443
Andrej SustrTBL2118:400:531:2435
Kyle OkposoNYI2118:370:531:2280
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2217:430:481:2554
Thomas HickeyNYI2017:430:531:2825
Eric BrewerTBL2117:390:501:5221
Ryan CallahanTBL2217:230:471:2455
Tyler JohnsonTBL2216:200:451:0926
Brock NelsonNYI2116:040:461:2253
Mikhail GrabovskiNYI1915:510:501:1432
Ryan StromeNYI2115:440:451:4145
Radko GudasTBL2115:350:451:1330
Ondrej PalatTBL2215:110:411:1825
Nikolay KuleminNYI1914:560:471:3023
Cedric PaquetteTBL1814:250:481:1735
Nikita KucherovTBL2013:520:421:1622
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1713:480:491:1754
Alex KillornTBL1613:390:511:2331
JT BrownTBL1311:400:541:2411
Brian BoyleTBL1411:210:491:2411
Matt MartinNYI1410:290:451:2512
Casey CizikasNYI1410:100:441:5412
Anders LeeNYI1510:000:401:4124
Cory ConacherNYI139:070:421:0112
Brenden MorrowTBL108:290:511:4100