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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 21, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 0, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 98% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Gerbe–TerrySkinner–Rask–LindholmMcClement–Malone–BoychukSemin–Dwyer–NashSemin–Staal–GerbeDwyer–Terry–NashMcClement–Semin–DwyerMalone–Rask–LindholmSemin–Skinner–RaskSemin–Nash–SkinnerGerbe–Rask–LindholmSekera–FaulkHainsey–LilesHainsey–BellemoreGleason–BellemoreLiles–GleasonGleason–Faulk
St. Louis–Stepan–Kreider6:150.08–0.031:130.00–0.001:220.00–0.001:030.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:390.00–0.035:290.04–0.034:520.01–0.070:580.03–0.001:120.00–0.00
Nash–Brassard–Zuccarello1:370.06–0.004:140.17–0.020:570.00–0.011:230.20–0.000:580.08–0.004:250.25–0.052:310.10–0.012:170.18–0.000:340.01–0.00
Hagelin–Hayes–Miller0:560.00–0.001:230.00–0.014:510.09–0.010:530.00–0.001:020.26–0.002:230.26–0.001:390.09–0.004:120.00–0.011:350.00–0.010:340.00–0.00
Moore–Glass–Fast0:360.00–0.034:590.50–0.111:320.01–0.001:560.00–0.002:110.00–0.111:320.13–0.001:510.01–0.020:480.00–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh4:030.17–0.034:220.02–0.022:240.02–0.041:180.10–0.000:350.00–0.034:560.13–0.044:360.11–0.053:210.15–0.001:460.00–0.01
Klein–Staal1:050.00–0.002:320.15–0.060:480.00–0.010:430.00–0.001:050.00–0.003:020.17–0.003:180.00–0.120:590.07–0.000:440.00–0.00
Boyle–Staal2:250.00–0.001:520.37–0.000:360.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:530.09–0.001:100.00–0.032:490.00–0.031:360.09–0.000:490.00–0.002:080.00–0.00
Klein–Hunwick1:010.00–0.021:120.11–0.001:500.09–0.000:390.00–0.001:020.26–0.002:310.31–0.021:240.20–0.001:190.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Boyle–Hunwick1:090.00–0.083:060.00–0.010:300.01–0.001:100.00–0.001:280.00–0.060:450.13–0.001:570.01–0.020:410.00–0.01
Staal–Girardi1:040.08–0.001:040.08–0.00
Boyle–McDonagh0:510.04–0.001:080.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGlass FFast FMoore FBrassard FZuccarello FNash FKreider FStepan FSt. Louis FMiller FHayes FHagelin FStaal DBoyle DGirardi DMcDonagh DHunwick DKlein DTalbot GMcClement FBoychuk FMalone FLindholm FNash FSkinner FStaal FGerbe FTerry FSemin FDwyer FRask FSekera DFaulk DGleason DHainsey DBellemore DLiles DKhudobin G
NYRCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghNYR3023:360:471:3453
Andrej SekeraCAR3123:080:451:5024
Dan GirardiNYR2822:490:491:3453
Ron HainseyCAR2822:250:481:3068
Justin FaulkCAR3322:150:402:1026
Marc StaalNYR2619:460:461:4754
Dan BoyleNYR2419:110:481:3872
John-Michael LilesCAR2318:340:481:3063
Rick NashNYR2318:150:481:5043
Nathan GerbeCAR2418:150:461:2234
Kevin KleinNYR2518:120:441:5653
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2418:040:451:1862
Martin St. LouisNYR2217:580:491:1362
Derick BrassardNYR2117:340:501:3842
Derek StepanNYR2317:210:451:1274
Chris KreiderNYR2016:570:511:2142
Brett BellemoreCAR2016:540:511:3414
Riley NashCAR2416:510:421:0538
Eric StaalCAR2116:430:481:4334
Tim GleasonCAR2016:200:491:5304
Alexander SeminCAR1916:180:511:3217
Patrick DwyerCAR2215:340:421:0918
Jay McClementCAR2114:510:421:1037
Jeff SkinnerCAR2114:500:421:4324
Victor RaskCAR2114:400:421:3222
Matt HunwickNYR1714:330:511:3641
Carl HagelinNYR2013:520:421:2540
Chris TerryCAR1813:420:461:4622
Elias LindholmCAR2013:360:411:1522
J.T. MillerNYR1613:010:491:1950
Dominic MooreNYR1912:320:401:0533
Kevin HayesNYR1612:160:461:1940
Jesper FastNYR1811:490:391:1720
Brad MaloneCAR1310:540:501:4813
Tanner GlassNYR1510:260:421:0522
Zach BoychukCAR159:420:391:0523