Mon, Dec 29, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
57%
9%
8%
25%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:37 | 0.06 | 21.1% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:09 | 0.15 | 45.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.04 | 44.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.11 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.02 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.05 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.05 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:07 | 0.24 | 36.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.19 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.22 | 34.8% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:43 | 0.28 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.15 | 34.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.14 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.07 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:23 | 0.04 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:49 | 0.00 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 2.66 | −0.3 | 58:37 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:20 | 0.06 | 52.3% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:52 | 0.18 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:09 | 0.54 | 76.9% | +35.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:57 | 0.64 | 67.4% | +49.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.06 | 69.7% | +34.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.05 | 70.1% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.26 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:23 | 0.15 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.09 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16:42 | 0.11 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.05 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.17 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:39 | 0.21 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.01 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.04 | 88.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.04 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 88.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.81 | −0.2 | 59:31 |