Mon, Dec 29, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
57%
9%
8%
25%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | Clarkson–Booth–Holland | Santorelli–van Riemsdyk–Kadri | Winnik–Smith–Ashton | Lupul–Clarkson–Kadri | Santorelli–Smith–Ashton | Phaneuf–Franson | Polak–Rielly | Holzer–Gardiner | Polak–Gardiner | Gardiner–Rielly | Phaneuf–Holzer | Polak–Franson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filppula–Callahan–Killorn | 9:140.61–0.06 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 5:090.26–0.00 | 2:590.25–0.00 | 1:570.04–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.06 | |||||||
| Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | 2:380.14–0.04 | 1:580.00–0.04 | 3:420.13–0.15 | 2:280.05–0.12 | 2:210.12–0.00 | 3:150.14–0.07 | 0:390.00–0.04 | ||||||
| Stamkos–Paquette–Drouin | 1:120.07–0.16 | 2:470.23–0.05 | 2:120.14–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:580.11–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 3:010.23–0.21 | 0:480.07–0.00 | |||||
| Morrow–Boyle–Connolly | 1:260.04–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.00 | 1:240.04–0.00 | 1:310.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Morrow–Boyle–Stamkos | 2:050.11–0.04 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:050.11–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Carle–Stralman | 7:560.39–0.26 | 2:510.20–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.03 | 1:230.08–0.00 | 4:440.30–0.00 | 3:310.10–0.14 | 4:010.17–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.04 | |||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 3:570.24–0.03 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 6:000.28–0.16 | 1:080.00–0.04 | 4:280.17–0.16 | 3:130.12–0.00 | 2:370.09–0.00 | 1:050.12–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.06 | ||||
| Barberio–Gudas | 1:160.18–0.16 | 4:500.29–0.12 | 1:580.12–0.02 | 1:480.04–0.00 | 1:430.15–0.00 | 3:440.18–0.02 | 4:020.24–0.28 | 0:480.07–0.00 | |||||
| Carle–Gudas | 0:370.00–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Carle–Sustr | 0:300.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Stralman–Barberio | 0:420.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hedman–Gudas | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:550.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 24:20 | 0:56 | 1:26 | 8 | 3 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 29 | 23:37 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 5 | 7 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 27 | 21:52 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 23 | 21:31 | 0:56 | 2:03 | 0 | 8 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 22 | 21:09 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 4 | 6 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 21 | 20:50 | 1:00 | 2:09 | 4 | 4 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 31 | 20:23 | 0:39 | 1:53 | 4 | 6 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 25 | 20:09 | 0:48 | 2:09 | 8 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 19:57 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 7 | 2 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 26 | 19:53 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 4 | 3 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 23 | 19:38 | 0:51 | 2:01 | 7 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 19:00 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 7 | 1 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 27 | 18:42 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 3 | 3 |
 Korbinian HolzerTOR | 28 | 18:26 | 0:40 | 1:27 | 5 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 17:44 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 1 | 6 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 22 | 17:23 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 20 | 17:16 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 0 | 7 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 21 | 17:10 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 3 | 2 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 20 | 17:07 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 3 | 4 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 18 | 16:42 | 0:56 | 1:33 | 3 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 18 | 16:42 | 0:56 | 1:53 | 2 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 16:06 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 23 | 15:42 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 5 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 18 | 14:54 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 1 | 3 |
 David BoothTOR | 18 | 13:43 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 0 | 5 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 17 | 13:39 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 5 | 1 |
 Mike SantorelliTOR | 18 | 13:25 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Mark BarberioTBL | 17 | 13:22 | 0:47 | 2:00 | 3 | 0 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 16 | 13:16 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 3 | 3 |
 David ClarksonTOR | 16 | 12:55 | 0:48 | 2:14 | 0 | 5 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 18 | 11:43 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 6 | 1 |
 Daniel WinnikTOR | 14 | 11:40 | 0:50 | 3:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Brenden MorrowTBL | 11 | 8:44 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 11 | 7:53 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Carter AshtonTOR | 9 | 7:23 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Trevor SmithTOR | 9 | 6:49 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |