Fri, Jan 9, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 92% of the time.
88%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 26:55 | 0.03 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:09 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:03 | 0.11 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.30 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.07 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.03 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.08 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.06 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.12 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.08 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.03 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.04 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.13 | 7.9% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 6.6% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.14 | 8.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 47 | 45 | 2 | .957 | 4.31 | +2.3 | 59:25 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.06 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:50 | 0.11 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:34 | 0.34 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:39 | 0.27 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.13 | 93.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.00 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.11 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.57 | 97.0% | +16.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:48 | 0.72 | 84.1% | +38.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:41 | 0.50 | 87.5% | +38.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:08 | 0.48 | 98.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.21 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.14 | 88.6% | +38.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 14:34 | 0.07 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.27 | 98.4% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.10 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:24 | 0.18 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:08 | 0.05 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 1.22 | +0.2 | 59:52 |