Fri, Jan 9, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 92% of the time.
88%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ennis–Flynn–Girgensons | Moulson–Stewart–Varone | Hodgson–Deslauriers–Grigorenko | McCormick–Stafford–Kaleta | Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons | Hodgson–Ennis–Deslauriers | Stafford–Ennis–Deslauriers | Stewart–Deslauriers–Grigorenko | Gorges–Myers | Meszaros–Weber | Benoit–Ristolainen | Benoit–Meszaros | Gorges–Ristolainen | Weber–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | 0:490.03–0.00 | 2:420.09–0.00 | 1:530.18–0.00 | 2:310.17–0.02 | 0:310.07–0.03 | 3:520.29–0.00 | 5:500.21–0.07 | 0:590.00–0.04 | 0:580.11–0.00 | |||||
| Filppula–Callahan–Paquette | 5:530.98–0.01 | 1:080.11–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:150.09–0.00 | 4:090.63–0.01 | 3:100.19–0.01 | 2:480.18–0.00 | 0:490.12–0.00 | ||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Drouin | 1:040.15–0.10 | 0:570.19–0.03 | 3:270.17–0.01 | 1:240.48–0.00 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 4:110.41–0.00 | 3:310.16–0.11 | 1:060.56–0.03 | |||||
| Morrow–Boyle–Connolly | 0:430.00–0.13 | 2:380.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:040.05–0.00 | 2:530.13–0.15 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Connolly | 1:150.00–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.03 | 0:520.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Morrow–Boyle–Drouin | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 5:250.36–0.13 | 4:430.32–0.02 | 0:320.08–0.00 | 2:120.01–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 5:190.20–0.01 | 4:100.27–0.02 | 3:340.25–0.15 | 1:040.12–0.00 | |||||
| Garrison–Sustr | 2:110.12–0.04 | 2:420.07–0.06 | 3:160.00–0.01 | 1:160.30–0.03 | 0:310.07–0.03 | 3:460.06–0.03 | 5:010.23–0.10 | 3:360.49–0.08 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||||
| Carle–Nesterov | 1:020.63–0.07 | 0:570.12–0.00 | 4:060.27–0.02 | 2:180.58–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.04 | 4:371.13–0.00 | 3:330.02–0.07 | 2:250.41–0.04 | 1:010.11–0.02 | ||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Carle–Hedman | 0:300.02–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Nesterov | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Josh GorgesBUF | 32 | 26:55 | 0:50 | 2:22 | 2 | 8 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 32 | 23:09 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 2 | 8 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 25 | 22:30 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 9 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 21:50 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 7 | 4 |
 Andrej MeszarosBUF | 29 | 21:03 | 0:44 | 2:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 28 | 19:49 | 0:42 | 2:11 | 1 | 7 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 19:34 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 6 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 22 | 19:32 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 3 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 26 | 18:51 | 0:44 | 1:42 | 5 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 22 | 18:39 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 7 | 1 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 23 | 18:20 | 0:48 | 2:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 23 | 18:14 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 4 | 2 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 23 | 18:09 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 4 | 2 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 22 | 18:07 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 17:48 | 0:49 | 2:07 | 8 | 3 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 24 | 17:43 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 24 | 17:41 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 7 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 23 | 17:08 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 23 | 16:51 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 5 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 16:26 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 7 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 19 | 15:56 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Chris StewartBUF | 20 | 15:20 | 0:46 | 2:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 19 | 15:17 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 2 | 3 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 20 | 15:06 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 6 | 1 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 20 | 14:34 | 0:44 | 1:58 | 3 | 4 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 20 | 14:25 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Phil VaroneBUF | 19 | 13:14 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 15 | 12:22 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 18 | 12:21 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 3 | 7 |
 Andre BenoitBUF | 16 | 11:56 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 14 | 11:19 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 14 | 11:01 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 17 | 10:30 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 3 | 7 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 14 | 10:27 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 3 | 4 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 12 | 8:24 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 4 | 1 |
 Brenden MorrowTBL | 12 | 8:08 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |