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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 2, 2015·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 72% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Thorburn–Kane–LowryFrolik–Perreault–ScheifeleLadd–Wheeler–LittleSlater–Galiardi–PelusoWheeler–Kane–LowryThorburn–Perreault–ScheifeleEnstrom–ByfuglienStuart–TroubaBogosian–ChiarotBogosian–TroubaStuart–ChiarotByfuglien–TroubaByfuglien–Bogosian
Hudler–Gaudreau–Monahan1:040.19–0.037:120.13–0.081:050.00–0.313:160.02–0.032:280.00–0.024:020.30–0.37
Raymond–Baertschi–Jooris3:410.03–0.071:190.00–0.150:320.00–0.003:360.03–0.241:450.10–0.190:520.00–0.03
Stajan–Jones–Bouma0:550.00–0.013:360.40–0.090:500.04–0.082:060.38–0.011:540.02–0.090:380.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Raymond–Colborne–Baertschi2:550.02–0.001:240.02–0.001:430.02–0.000:350.00–0.00
Jones–Bouma–Jooris0:360.06–0.000:330.06–0.031:300.00–0.131:450.00–0.170:560.06–0.00
Stajan–Byron–Bollig0:410.01–0.000:450.01–0.000:370.01–0.051:130.01–0.00
Byron–Colborne–Bollig0:430.15–0.000:460.00–0.060:570.15–0.041:110.00–0.02
Byron–Gaudreau–Monahan0:460.14–0.000:460.14–0.00
Colborne–Bouma–Bollig0:570.09–0.000:540.09–0.00
Jones–Byron–Jooris0:440.00–0.00
Wideman–Russell3:470.35–0.056:560.19–0.292:090.02–0.540:330.01–0.000:420.00–0.004:310.00–0.113:330.17–0.265:040.23–0.370:570.10–0.03
Giordano–Brodie1:560.03–0.013:400.00–0.106:070.54–0.050:370.01–0.000:420.04–0.006:500.55–0.114:000.02–0.071:550.00–0.000:570.04–0.000:440.04–0.00
Engelland–Diaz6:310.16–0.050:420.00–0.082:270.09–0.083:110.00–0.322:150.00–0.113:000.16–0.050:370.00–0.001:320.09–0.02
Russell–Brodie0:540.03–0.010:550.00–0.000:510.00–0.050:410.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndColborne FRaymond FBaertschi FJooris FJones FBouma FGaudreau FMonahan FHudler FStajan FBollig FByron FEngelland DDiaz DGiordano DBrodie DRussell DWideman DHiller GKane FLowry FThorburn FLadd FLittle FWheeler FScheifele FFrolik FPerreault FPeluso FSlater FGaliardi FBogosian DChiarot DByfuglien DEnstrom DStuart DTrouba DHutchinson GPavelec G
CGYWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dustin ByfuglienWPG2625:290:592:0361
Mark GiordanoCGY3125:080:492:0125
TJ BrodieCGY2824:190:522:0004
Toby EnstromWPG2923:460:492:0872
Dennis WidemanCGY3023:380:471:3363
Jacob TroubaWPG2623:070:531:3121
Kris RussellCGY3122:000:431:3233
Evander KaneWPG2520:530:501:1932
Sean MonahanCGY2619:440:461:2738
Michael FrolikWPG2419:350:491:2532
Mark ScheifeleWPG2319:090:501:2541
Blake WheelerWPG2517:550:431:0751
David JonesCGY2516:520:401:2055
Johnny GaudreauCGY2516:490:401:2246
Mathieu PerreaultWPG2116:430:481:1861
Adam LowryWPG2216:270:451:0132
Zach BogosianWPG2416:240:411:1431
Bryan LittleWPG2616:230:381:0473
Mark StuartWPG1916:170:511:3701
Andrew LaddWPG2516:140:391:0873
Josh JoorisCGY2516:100:391:3032
Lance BoumaCGY2515:550:381:1724
Mason RaymondCGY2315:350:411:2420
Jiri HudlerCGY2214:350:401:1615
Ben ChiarotWPG2014:340:441:1522
Chris ThorburnWPG2014:040:421:0122
Raphael DiazCGY1813:380:451:2441
Sven BaertschiCGY1913:170:421:2410
Paul ByronCGY2512:560:311:0032
Matt StajanCGY2112:500:371:2022
Joe ColborneCGY1912:080:381:0430
Deryk EngellandCGY1711:170:401:2441
Brandon BolligCGY157:420:311:0740
Jim SlaterWPG106:260:391:0102
Anthony PelusoWPG94:280:301:1101
TJ GaliardiWPG74:240:380:5901