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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 17, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New York Islanders 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 51% of the time.

CAR winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bailey–Tavares–LeeGrabovski–Clutterbuck–KuleminMcDonald–Martin–NelsonNielsen–Grabner–StromeGrabovski–Kulemin–BaileyStrait–HamonicBoychuk–LeddyHickey–de HaanStrait–Hickey
Staal–Tlusty–Staal6:040.78–0.353:350.40–0.001:460.02–0.001:470.17–0.007:231.08–0.122:250.09–0.023:100.02–0.22
Gerbe–Terry–Nestrasil0:440.00–0.002:350.00–0.063:210.10–0.813:300.19–0.183:270.12–0.162:580.23–0.054:200.05–0.88
McClement–Dwyer–Malone2:240.00–0.032:470.22–0.283:290.09–0.110:540.00–0.152:310.01–0.023:560.22–0.513:330.08–0.06
Nash–Skinner–Lindholm1:380.02–0.002:060.05–0.091:090.06–0.303:050.03–0.201:250.06–0.004:430.17–0.091:560.00–0.16
Sekera–Faulk9:371.00–0.192:000.04–0.113:350.30–0.041:410.00–0.050:470.03–0.009:371.20–0.154:110.13–0.184:370.00–0.090:590.24–0.00
Hainsey–Liles1:570.00–0.003:560.27–0.271:570.00–0.385:410.34–0.204:550.18–0.166:060.47–0.273:320.09–0.04
Gleason–Jordan1:090.00–0.195:260.37–0.094:460.17–0.801:440.07–0.160:300.00–0.152:470.09–0.026:010.17–0.225:130.10–1.15
Hainsey–Gleason0:500.05–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcClement FMalone FDwyer FStaal FStaal FTlusty FLindholm FNash FSkinner FNestrasil FTerry FGerbe FGleason DJordan DSekera DFaulk DLiles DHainsey DKhudobin GClutterbuck FGrabovski FKulemin FBailey FLee FTavares FStrome FGrabner FNielsen FMartin FNelson FMcDonald FLeddy DBoychuk DHamonic DStrait DHickey Dde Haan DJohnson G
CARNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR2723:390:531:3833
Andrej SekeraCAR2622:430:521:4133
Brian StraitNYI2222:421:021:4710
Johnny BoychukNYI2521:390:521:5926
Nick LeddyNYI2321:110:551:5915
Travis HamonicNYI2020:051:001:3110
Ron HainseyCAR2419:150:481:5131
Jiri TlustyCAR2219:040:521:2463
John TavaresNYI2118:400:531:3442
Tim GleasonCAR2318:250:481:3332
Eric StaalCAR2218:170:501:2953
Thomas HickeyNYI2217:540:491:5514
John-Michael LilesCAR2217:420:481:4331
Jordan StaalCAR2217:260:481:2963
Michal JordanCAR2317:130:451:3350
Nikolay KuleminNYI2316:540:441:3717
Calvin de HaanNYI2116:400:481:2512
Josh BaileyNYI1816:080:541:2623
Anders LeeNYI2215:590:441:1143
Mikhail GrabovskiNYI1915:060:481:2516
Andrej NestrasilCAR1814:530:501:3630
Jay McClementCAR1914:520:471:2825
Nathan GerbeCAR1914:510:471:3630
Chris TerryCAR1914:240:451:2540
Patrick DwyerCAR1814:200:481:0824
Brock NelsonNYI2113:500:401:0800
Ryan StromeNYI1913:370:431:1204
Brad MaloneCAR1513:350:541:2812
Cal ClutterbuckNYI1913:300:431:0516
Matt MartinNYI1913:280:431:1700
Colin McDonaldNYI1913:010:411:4500
Jeff SkinnerCAR1913:000:411:2950
Frans NielsenNYI2112:570:371:0823
Elias LindholmCAR2012:470:381:0860
Michael GrabnerNYI2012:390:381:0503
Riley NashCAR1911:410:371:0350