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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 19, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

San Jose Sharks 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 88% of the time.

TOR winsSJS wins

San Jose Sharks

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Justin BraunD · #610000321:450.1474.5%0.0
Marc-Edouard VlasicD · #440110421:420.1363.7%+18.4
Brent BurnsD · #88011+2420:420.1965.5%+14.1
Patrick MarleauC · #120000220:070.3455.9%0.0
Chris TierneyC · #50011+1319:060.7363.8%+18.4
Brenden DillonD · #40000118:550.0970.3%0.0
Joe PavelskiC · #8011+1218:160.1866.4%+16.2
Mirco MuellerD · #410000017:540.0281.2%0.0
Joe ThorntonC · #190220417:180.3367.7%+30.3
Tomas HertlC · #48101+1316:120.4766.8%+18.4
Logan CoutureC · #39112+1115:400.1382.9%+21.5
Tommy WingelsC · #57101+1315:340.1478.7%+7.4
Matt IrwinD · #52000+2115:250.0160.8%0.0
Matt NietoLW · #83011+1414:210.4585.0%+7.4
Melker KarlssonC · #681010514:030.4866.3%+16.2
Ben SmithRW · #210000010:290.0063.8%0.0
Barclay GoodrowC · #89000−109:270.0067.0%0.0
Daniil TarasovRW · #71000+129:150.1873.4%0.0
Antti Niemi#31W28271.9641.42+0.459:12

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dion PhaneufD · #30000622:310.2033.4%0.0
Andrew MacWilliamD · #57000−1122:160.0533.3%0.0
Eric BrewerD · #2000−1120:050.0146.6%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #511010118:380.0124.9%+15.9
Tim ErixonD · #330000118:170.0332.1%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42000−2218:160.2122.4%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−2118:130.0221.6%0.0
Trevor SmithC · #230000117:440.1434.4%0.0
David BoothLW · #200000217:390.0420.1%0.0
Phil KesselRW · #81000−3315:470.2926.4%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21000−3215:400.1217.9%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #470110115:320.0347.3%+15.9
Richard PanikRW · #18000+1214:210.1551.6%0.0
Joffrey LupulLW · #190000013:420.0034.8%0.0
Brandon KozunRW · #67011+1111:470.0356.7%+15.9
Zach SillC · #220000111:420.0426.3%0.0
Sam CarrickC · #53000019:060.0117.7%0.0
Joakim LindstromC · #15000018:560.0324.3%0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45L42384.9054.010.060:00