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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 26, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Smith–ForsbergGaustad–Beck–BourqueFisher–Wilson–ArvidssonSantorelli–Stalberg–JarnkrokEkholm–JonesWeber–JosiFranson–EllisJosi–EllisWeber–EkholmJosi–JonesWeber–EllisEllis–Ekholm
Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos3:530.17–0.001:250.06–0.001:570.00–0.292:520.05–0.004:410.15–0.000:420.03–0.000:430.00–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov1:060.07–0.041:560.03–0.003:280.11–0.000:530.00–0.343:360.15–0.002:370.13–0.340:490.00–0.040:440.00–0.00
Filppula–Namestnikov–Paquette4:500.06–0.011:300.05–0.011:100.00–0.003:090.06–0.062:290.00–0.010:520.04–0.010:360.00–0.000:400.02–0.001:060.00–0.00
Boyle–Brown–Drouin1:340.05–0.002:110.03–0.210:380.00–0.001:570.07–0.002:460.03–0.000:580.03–0.212:090.05–0.000:430.02–0.00
Carle–Garrison6:050.11–0.000:550.00–0.001:360.00–0.003:260.06–0.063:190.07–0.002:170.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman1:530.05–0.003:570.11–0.012:330.02–0.343:500.05–0.002:480.14–0.351:110.07–0.011:110.00–0.000:400.02–0.000:430.02–0.00
Barberio–Sustr1:080.03–0.044:420.18–0.211:490.08–0.000:390.00–0.002:500.14–0.003:230.10–0.211:540.00–0.040:440.00–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:330.00–0.001:190.03–0.030:500.00–0.00
Carle–Sustr0:300.00–0.000:360.02–0.00
Stralman–Barberio0:420.00–0.051:090.03–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaquette FFilppula FNamestnikov FKillorn FCallahan FStamkos FKucherov FJohnson FPalat FBoyle FBrown FDrouin FGarrison DCarle DStralman DHedman DSustr DBarberio DBishop GVasilevskiy GForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FGaustad FBeck FBourque FFisher FWilson FArvidsson FSantorelli FJarnkrok FStalberg FWeber DJosi DEllis DFranson DJones DEkholm DRinne G
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3225:480:481:3644
Seth JonesNSH3025:010:501:3517
Shea WeberNSH3324:210:441:2038
Victor HedmanTBL2724:100:541:3582
Mattias EkholmNSH2720:550:461:2008
Anton StralmanTBL2520:460:501:3562
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2620:300:471:2283
Steven StamkosTBL2318:570:491:4861
Alex KillornTBL2618:560:441:1573
Mike FisherNSH2718:510:421:1738
Jason GarrisonTBL2618:240:421:2026
Matt CarleTBL2518:230:441:2004
Ondrej PalatTBL2317:380:461:1742
Ryan EllisNSH2617:160:401:1742
Colin WilsonNSH2117:020:491:1526
Andrej SustrTBL2017:010:511:2333
Ryan CallahanTBL2116:520:481:2770
Paul GaustadNSH2816:380:361:15111
Mike RibeiroNSH2216:360:451:1720
Tyler JohnsonTBL2416:070:401:2442
Taylor BeckNSH2415:590:401:1515
Gabriel BourqueNSH2515:520:381:14110
Craig SmithNSH2415:090:381:1510
Nikita KucherovTBL2114:430:421:3251
Filip ForsbergNSH2013:200:401:4211
Mark BarberioTBL2013:090:391:1730
Brian BoyleTBL1811:550:401:1413
Jonathan DrouinTBL1711:450:411:1740
Cedric PaquetteTBL1711:360:411:1032
Calle JarnkrokNSH2011:090:331:0724
Mike SantorelliNSH2011:010:330:5921
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1410:180:441:1030
Viktor ArvidssonNSH149:370:411:0906
JT BrownTBL138:150:380:5311
Viktor StalbergNSH168:100:310:4821
Cody FransonNSH127:150:360:5411