Sat, Oct 10, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
45%
9%
9%
38%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 2 | 30:56 | 0.08 | 68.8% | +68.2 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:50 | 0.24 | 68.9% | +60.1 |
 Mike HoffmanC · #68 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:28 | 0.23 | 59.2% | +36.5 |
 Kyle TurrisC · #7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.07 | 65.3% | +31.7 |
 Jared CowenD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.07 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Marc MethotD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.05 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
 Cody CeciD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.10 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
 Milan MichalekLW · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:35 | 0.89 | 36.8% | +8.1 |
 Bobby RyanRW · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.08 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Mark BorowieckiD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.03 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Mika ZibanejadC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.24 | 31.3% | +15.3 |
 Patrick WierciochD · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 35.1% | +15.3 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.10 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Curtis LazarC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.12 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.02 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex ChiassonRW · #90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:59 | 0.27 | 75.5% | +15.3 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:51 | 0.25 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | W | 41 | 37 | 4 | .902 | 3.04 | −1.0 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:22 | 0.18 | 64.8% | +44.8 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:39 | 0.06 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.03 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:56 | 0.55 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick SpalingC · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.04 | 27.8% | +38.4 |
 Daniel WinnikLW · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.07 | 32.9% | +38.4 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.14 | 76.2% | +15.5 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 18:35 | 0.04 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.20 | 45.6% | +38.4 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 16:06 | 0.50 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.07 | 27.8% | +7.5 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:35 | 0.40 | 74.0% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.02 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.51 | 65.4% | +29.3 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.09 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Mark ArcobelloRW · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.13 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 PA ParenteauRW · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:00 | 0.00 | 76.5% | +29.3 |
 James Reimer#34 | O | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.86 | −1.1 | 65:00 |