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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 10, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Turris–Hoffman–StoneMichalek–MacArthur–PageauRyan–Zibanejad–LazarNeil–Smith–ChiassonMethot–KarlssonWiercioch–CeciBorowiecki–CowenKarlsson–CowenKarlsson–Wiercioch
Komarov–van Riemsdyk–Bozak2:590.18–0.006:570.61–0.253:270.21–0.243:060.34–0.004:060.23–0.00
Lupul–Winnik–Spaling9:150.18–0.220:300.00–0.025:540.01–0.252:550.09–0.131:110.07–0.02
Boyes–Grabner–Kadri0:490.02–0.083:340.13–0.071:190.00–0.090:590.02–0.001:510.09–0.092:440.07–0.07
Parenteau–Holland–Arcobello0:330.00–0.000:380.01–0.002:180.05–0.022:580.04–0.000:340.10–0.020:330.00–0.00
Boyes–Kadri–Arcobello2:010.17–0.271:160.17–0.081:160.00–0.20
Parenteau–Grabner–Holland1:160.00–0.041:080.00–0.04
Lupul–van Riemsdyk–Bozak0:500.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Boyes–Parenteau–Kadri0:460.03–0.00
Phaneuf–Gardiner0:330.00–0.002:430.33–0.214:540.22–0.253:360.05–0.024:500.14–0.243:260.40–0.023:400.14–0.210:510.00–0.00
Hunwick–Rielly9:040.19–0.291:090.24–0.005:540.03–0.053:310.33–0.132:040.11–0.000:380.00–0.08
Polak–Marincin0:560.00–0.145:090.01–0.131:260.01–0.032:200.00–0.291:500.01–0.314:130.00–0.234:320.04–0.06
Polak–Hunwick1:310.00–0.021:260.02–0.03
Phaneuf–Polak0:450.02–0.001:030.02–0.000:300.00–0.01
Polak–Gardiner0:410.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly0:330.01–0.000:460.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSpaling FLupul FWinnik Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKomarov FBoyes FGrabner FKadri FParenteau FHolland FArcobello FHunwick DRielly DPhaneuf DGardiner DPolak DMarincin DReimer GTurris FStone FHoffman FRyan FLazar FZibanejad FMichalek FMacArthur FPageau FSmith FNeil FChiasson FMethot DKarlsson DCowen DBorowiecki DCeci DWiercioch DAnderson G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3230:560:582:5555
Dion PhaneufTOR3924:220:371:1147
Morgan RiellyTOR2822:390:491:3356
Mark StoneOTT2621:500:502:1593
Matt HunwickTOR3021:300:431:2136
Mike HoffmanOTT2621:280:502:2772
Roman PolakTOR2920:440:431:3635
Kyle TurrisOTT2720:370:461:24103
Jared CowenOTT2820:090:432:0916
Marc MethotOTT2920:080:421:1735
James van RiemsdykTOR2519:560:482:0463
Nick SpalingTOR2819:410:421:1728
Daniel WinnikTOR2619:270:451:4428
Tyler BozakTOR2919:060:401:2865
Cody CeciOTT2318:420:491:4413
Jake GardinerTOR3018:350:371:1024
Milan MichalekOTT2318:350:481:3654
Brad BoyesTOR2417:390:441:2262
Bobby RyanOTT2116:460:481:4870
Nazem KadriTOR2216:060:441:2262
Mark BorowieckiOTT2616:030:371:4916
Mika ZibanejadOTT2316:020:421:4841
Joffrey LupulTOR2016:010:481:1533
Leo KomarovTOR2515:350:371:3833
Patrick WierciochOTT2014:580:451:2812
Clarke MacArthurOTT1914:530:471:3024
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2214:420:401:0718
Curtis LazarOTT2414:280:361:4833
Martin MarincinTOR2214:270:391:3622
Peter HollandTOR1911:510:371:2222
Michael GrabnerTOR1811:470:391:0921
Zack SmithOTT2011:320:351:0811
Alex ChiassonOTT1910:590:351:2811
Mark ArcobelloTOR139:530:461:1532
PA ParenteauTOR139:000:421:2201
Chris NeilOTT168:510:331:0610