Wed, Oct 21, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
10%
41%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:23 | 0.18 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:07 | 0.22 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.27 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.09 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.03 | 43.1% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:31 | 0.38 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:13 | 0.21 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.03 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.06 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.55 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.01 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.11 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.03 | 49.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.02 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.02 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:37 | 0.06 | 37.2% | +19.1 |
| O | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 2.30 | +1.3 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:36 | 0.09 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:09 | 0.06 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:08 | 0.17 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.03 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22:05 | 0.32 | 31.6% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:42 | 0.27 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.03 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.24 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.09 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.25 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 12:53 | 0.38 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.05 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.06 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:30 | 0.25 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.29 | +1.3 | 65:00 |