Wed, Oct 28, 2015·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Calgary Flames 4, Ottawa Senators 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 72% of the time.
20%
8%
64%
OTT winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:33 | 0.10 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:46 | 0.01 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:24 | 0.05 | 30.8% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:09 | 0.01 | 27.9% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.46 | 50.0% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.40 | 57.3% | +32.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.06 | 45.1% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.06 | 49.8% | +52.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:04 | 0.28 | 53.2% | +30.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.74 | 55.6% | +63.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 15:36 | 0.24 | 89.8% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.03 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:50 | 0.08 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 11:50 | 0.08 | 92.7% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:59 | 0.13 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.09 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.20 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:17 | 0.06 | 83.3% | 0.0 |
| – | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 1.67 | −2.3 | 52:20 | |
| O | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.24 | +0.2 | 12:40 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 31:04 | 0.08 | 61.7% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.13 | 44.9% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.06 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.00 | 52.7% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.01 | 62.9% | +27.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.20 | 55.8% | +27.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.29 | 55.0% | +60.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.38 | 47.3% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.02 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.30 | 43.9% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.13 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.01 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.08 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.06 | 25.1% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.09 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:55 | 0.03 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:28 | 0.02 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 3.12 | −0.9 | 64:30 |