Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 1, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 57% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:57Shot by Hainsey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 3:08Shot by Carle, saved by Ward
  4. P1 4:58Shot by Coburn, saved by Ward
  5. P1 6:03Shot by Lindholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 7:03Shot by Sustr, saved by Ward
  7. P1 7:38Shot by Sustr, saved by Ward
  8. P1 8:12Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 10:49Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 11:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  11. P1 11:57Versteeg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Rask · TBL Carle, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  12. P1 12:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward4v5
  13. P1 14:05Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  14. P1 14:40Shot by Murphy, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 14:42Sustr: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Rask, Murphy, Hanifin · TBL Boyle, Carle, McGinn, Brown, Sustr

  16. P1 15:07Goal by Staal (Versteeg, Rask)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Gerbe, Faulk, Rask · TBL Coburn, Garrison, Johnson, Palat

  17. P1 16:31Shot by Carle, saved by Ward
  18. P1 16:43Shot by Condra, saved by Ward
  19. P1 17:35Malone: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, McClement, Terry, Malone, Pesce · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  20. P1 18:00Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ward4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:38Goal by Callahan (Palat)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Gerbe, Staal, McGinn, Pesce · TBL Carle, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Palat

  24. P2 1:14Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 1:22Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 1:31Shot by Nash, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 2:33Shot by Murphy, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:43Shot by Terry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 5:55Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward
  30. P2 6:28Shot by Liles, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 7:30Shot by Coburn, saved by Ward
  32. P2 9:05Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 9:15Shot by Coburn, saved by Ward
  34. P2 9:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  35. P2 10:47Shot by Murphy, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 10:49Shot by Nash, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 11:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward
  38. P2 12:08Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 13:00Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 13:52Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  41. P2 14:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ward
  42. P2 14:23Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  43. P2 14:36Pesce: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, Nash, Skinner, Pesce, Lindholm · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov

  44. P2 15:09Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward4v5
  45. P2 15:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward4v5
  46. P2 16:05Shot by Filppula, saved by Ward4v5
  47. P2 17:54Hanifin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Rask, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin · TBL Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Palat

  48. P2 18:14Shot by Palat, saved by Ward4v5
  49. P2 18:54Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Stralman)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, McClement, Nash, Pesce · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:42Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 1:43Kucherov: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Rask · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Johnson, Kucherov, Sustr

  54. P3 2:55Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  55. P3 3:27Shot by Condra, saved by Ward5v4
  56. P3 4:07Goal by Brown (Filppula)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Nash, Skinner, McGinn, Hanifin · TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Garrison, Brown

  57. P3 4:30Shot by Hainsey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 5:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  59. P3 6:31Shot by Murphy, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 6:48Shot by Gerbe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 7:17Shot by Gerbe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 7:24Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 9:16Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Sustr)+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Terry, Nash, Faulk, Skinner · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov

  64. P3 9:32Shot by Callahan, saved by Ward
  65. P3 9:43Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 12:49Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward
  67. P3 13:22Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 15:03Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 15:25Goal by Versteeg (Rask)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Faulk, Rask · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Sustr

  70. P3 16:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  71. P3 17:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 17:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  73. P3 17:30Shot by Rask, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  74. P3 17:44Shot by Faulk, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  75. P3 18:15Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  76. P3 19:42Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  77. P3 19:59Goal by Staal (Rask, Versteeg)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Versteeg, Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Rask · TBL Filppula, Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final