Sun, Nov 1, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 57% of the time.
48%
9%
9%
34%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.06 | 64.2% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.16 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:34 | 0.41 | 55.3% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.17 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.10 | 54.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.03 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.24 | 51.9% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.24 | 41.7% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.21 | 51.1% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.22 | 41.0% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.04 | 37.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.04 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.03 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.20 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.33 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:25 | 0.20 | 60.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:58 | 0.02 | 74.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.11 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:22 | 0.06 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.27 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.15 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.09 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:21 | 0.73 | 62.8% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.38 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.50 | 52.2% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.19 | 63.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.13 | 45.0% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 0.11 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.08 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.03 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.09 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.12 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:08 | 0.13 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:29 | 0.04 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.72 | −1.3 | 57:23 |