Sun, Nov 1, 2015·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 57% of the time.
48%
9%
9%
34%
CAR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Callahan–Stamkos–Palat | Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov | Filppula–Boyle–Condra | Boyle–McGinn–Brown | Filppula–Condra–Namestnikov | Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos | Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | McGinn–Namestnikov–Brown | Filppula–Condra–Johnson | Carle–Garrison | Stralman–Hedman | Coburn–Sustr | Carle–Sustr | Carle–Stralman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staal–Versteeg–Rask | 2:010.00–0.24 | 1:110.00–0.01 | 2:060.18–0.00 | 2:330.04–0.01 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 1:390.06–0.09 | 1:340.09–0.09 | 3:480.06–0.24 | 5:360.22–0.03 | |||||
| Nash–Skinner–Lindholm | 2:290.03–0.00 | 2:070.25–0.13 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.15 | 0:320.05–0.00 | 1:080.03–0.14 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 3:470.05–0.29 | 4:450.25–0.13 | 1:390.03–0.00 | ||||
| Gerbe–Staal–McGinn | 3:080.30–0.12 | 2:270.05–0.00 | 4:290.35–0.12 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.01 | |||||||||
| McClement–Terry–Malone | 0:590.00–0.03 | 0:510.03–0.00 | 1:180.04–0.12 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.01 | 0:510.03–0.00 | 2:320.08–0.14 | |||||||
| Gerbe–Staal–Terry | 1:010.03–0.11 | 1:480.03–0.02 | 0:510.02–0.15 | 1:320.03–0.00 | 1:360.03–0.13 | 0:320.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hainsey–Faulk | 2:040.08–0.19 | 4:220.22–0.20 | 1:050.17–0.00 | 0:470.03–0.03 | 1:520.00–0.15 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:540.06–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 4:280.05–0.24 | 4:010.09–0.36 | 5:360.27–0.04 | |||
| Liles–Pesce | 4:520.07–0.26 | 1:370.03–0.01 | 0:530.21–0.00 | 2:540.05–0.00 | 1:130.05–0.00 | 0:490.02–0.13 | 5:540.43–0.12 | 5:150.04–0.43 | 2:330.05–0.01 | |||||
| Murphy–Hanifin | 1:280.00–0.00 | 2:530.01–0.03 | 2:070.04–0.00 | 1:350.04–0.12 | 1:390.02–0.29 | 3:350.05–0.15 | 3:580.42–0.00 | 2:530.10–0.14 | 0:510.04–0.15 | |||||
| Faulk–Murphy | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Pesce–Hanifin | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Murphy–Pesce | 0:300.00–0.18 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Justin FaulkCAR | 32 | 24:22 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 4 | 6 |
 Ron HainseyCAR | 30 | 22:11 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 3 | 6 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 21 | 21:47 | 1:02 | 2:30 | 4 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 22 | 21:15 | 0:58 | 1:57 | 4 | 4 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 28 | 20:34 | 0:44 | 1:45 | 3 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 20:34 | 0:59 | 1:25 | 5 | 3 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 24 | 20:34 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 21 | 20:10 | 0:58 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 22 | 19:58 | 0:54 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 John-Michael LilesCAR | 28 | 19:54 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 22 | 19:28 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 5 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 19:21 | 0:50 | 1:11 | 4 | 2 |
 Riley NashCAR | 22 | 19:13 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 3 | 8 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 20 | 19:03 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 18:06 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Kris VersteegCAR | 23 | 17:46 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 4 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeCAR | 20 | 17:01 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 24 | 16:55 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 5 | 3 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 23 | 16:45 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 23 | 16:24 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 3 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 18 | 15:29 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan MurphyCAR | 19 | 15:12 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 19 | 15:01 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Noah HanifinCAR | 19 | 14:59 | 0:47 | 2:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 23 | 14:57 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 19 | 14:55 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 18 | 13:43 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 16 | 13:30 | 0:51 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik CondraTBL | 15 | 13:16 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 17 | 12:10 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Chris TerryCAR | 13 | 11:02 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 12 | 10:37 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 2 | 0 |
 Brock McGinnCAR | 16 | 10:08 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 2 | 2 |
 JT BrownTBL | 12 | 9:25 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Tye McGinnTBL | 12 | 8:58 | 0:45 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Brad MaloneCAR | 13 | 8:29 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 |