Sat, Nov 7, 2015·Verizon Center, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
34%
9%
11%
45%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:15 | 0.13 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 46.1% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.01 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20:09 | 0.34 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.13 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.01 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.12 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.54 | 59.6% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.10 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.15 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.56 | 43.1% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.04 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.12 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2:07 | 0.03 | 100.0% | +19.3 |
| O | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.02 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:12 | 0.19 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 23:35 | 0.76 | 53.5% | +68.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.12 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.22 | 27.9% | +68.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 66.3% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.13 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:49 | 0.10 | 58.0% | +47.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.01 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.06 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.20 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.11 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:27 | 0.12 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:28 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:15 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.31 | +0.3 | 63:23 |