Sat, Dec 5, 2015·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, St. Louis Blues 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
37%
9%
9%
45%
STL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:22 | 0.14 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:38 | 0.03 | 61.8% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.09 | 53.6% | +43.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.02 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.18 | 68.1% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.41 | 65.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.05 | 51.5% | +15.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:37 | 0.34 | 57.9% | +23.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.08 | 62.4% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 14:36 | 0.64 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.06 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.14 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 48.7% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.01 | 89.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.46 | 45.3% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.02 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.44 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 25:10 | 0.51 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:00 | 0.10 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:04 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.09 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:46 | 0.20 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.25 | 40.1% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.03 | 39.9% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.08 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.21 | 37.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.13 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.09 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.22 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.04 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.04 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.10 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.33 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:46 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
| – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.14 | +0.1 | 2:18 | |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.53 | −1.5 | 57:42 |