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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 5, 2015·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, St. Louis Blues 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Komarov–Kadri–HollandBoyes–Matthias–FroeseParenteau–van Riemsdyk–BozakWinnik–Grabner–SpalingWinnik–Spaling–BozakHunwick–RiellyPhaneuf–GardinerPolak–MarincinPolak–RiellyPolak–HunwickPolak–GardinerPhaneuf–HunwickPhaneuf–Rielly
Steen–Stastny–Tarasenko0:400.09–0.053:250.03–0.163:180.00–0.166:350.23–0.711:040.11–0.050:390.00–0.001:170.00–0.00
Backes–Brouwer–Lehtera5:040.14–0.041:450.01–0.062:390.37–0.315:430.18–0.332:220.26–0.060:450.07–0.000:350.00–0.000:400.03–0.00
Gomez–Paajarvi–Fabbri3:150.33–0.260:320.00–0.001:020.00–0.001:590.26–0.001:380.00–0.111:200.07–0.00
Ott–Upshall–Brodziak1:070.00–0.000:560.10–0.051:070.00–0.001:460.00–0.001:000.00–0.020:400.10–0.00
Gomez–Upshall–Paajarvi1:060.00–0.100:460.00–0.001:370.00–0.10
Upshall–Brodziak–Fabbri0:530.00–0.090:390.00–0.17
Brodziak–Brouwer–Lehtera0:500.00–0.03
Bouwmeester–Pietrangelo1:200.02–0.001:310.08–0.006:300.30–0.481:160.00–0.000:390.15–0.005:260.23–0.303:200.14–0.311:190.18–0.000:410.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Gunnarsson4:120.19–0.071:200.00–0.001:010.03–0.022:380.02–0.003:100.02–0.294:570.11–0.071:190.11–0.000:580.03–0.00
Edmundson–Parayko2:320.02–0.123:340.35–0.312:100.00–0.022:030.09–0.041:550.29–0.054:520.07–0.230:400.10–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Parayko1:410.07–0.000:300.04–0.000:430.04–0.000:520.07–0.00
Shattenkirk–Pietrangelo0:310.01–0.060:320.00–0.000:420.01–0.060:360.00–0.00
Pietrangelo–Parayko0:510.00–0.141:150.00–0.14
Gunnarsson–Pietrangelo0:310.07–0.00
Gunnarsson–Parayko0:470.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Bouwmeester–Shattenkirk0:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLehtera FBrouwer FBackes FOtt FUpshall FBrodziak FTarasenko FSteen FStastny FFabbri FPaajarvi FGomez FGunnarsson DShattenkirk DEdmundson DParayko DBouwmeester DPietrangelo DAllen GElliott GHolland FKadri FKomarov FSpaling FWinnik FGrabner FBozak FParenteau Fvan Riemsdyk FFroese FMatthias FBoyes FRielly DPolak DPhaneuf DHunwick DMarincin DGardiner DSparks G
STLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex PietrangeloSTL3025:100:501:4434
Matt HunwickTOR3324:220:441:4028
Morgan RiellyTOR3223:380:441:4017
Kevin ShattenkirkSTL3123:000:451:2152
Jay BouwmeesterSTL3021:040:421:2136
Roman PolakTOR2620:440:481:5022
Dion PhaneufTOR2820:230:441:2970
Colton ParaykoSTL2519:260:471:2163
Jake GardinerTOR2519:210:461:3140
David BackesSTL2718:460:421:4444
Paul StastnySTL2718:430:421:1883
Alexander SteenSTL2918:410:391:2674
Carl GunnarssonSTL2618:220:421:1633
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2618:130:421:2672
Leo KomarovTOR2617:520:411:0931
Peter HollandTOR2417:020:431:1930
Troy BrouwerSTL2616:460:391:2123
Tyler BozakTOR2616:370:381:2583
Nazem KadriTOR2416:370:421:0521
Jori LehteraSTL2616:280:381:2233
PA ParenteauTOR2414:560:371:2582
James van RiemsdykTOR2414:360:371:2582
Byron FroeseTOR1914:210:451:2031
Robby FabbriSTL1713:540:491:2701
Nick SpalingTOR1913:400:431:4006
Shawn MatthiasTOR2113:280:381:1941
Scott GomezSTL1612:510:481:1011
Michael GrabnerTOR1812:170:411:2505
Brad BoyesTOR1812:100:411:0851
Joel EdmundsonSTL1611:580:451:2942
Daniel WinnikTOR1611:040:421:4004
Kyle BrodziakSTL2010:580:331:0035
Martin MarincinTOR1710:520:381:0812
Scottie UpshallSTL1810:500:361:0252
Magnus PaajarviSTL1410:040:431:0730
Steve OttSTL94:460:320:5221