Sat, Dec 12, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Washington Capitals 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
9%
37%
TBL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:28 | 0.07 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:05 | 0.03 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:40 | 0.21 | 45.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.03 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.14 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.21 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.53 | 38.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.07 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:43 | 1.04 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.11 | 39.3% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.18 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.03 | 34.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.02 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:50 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.07 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:48 | 0.28 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 35 | 1 | .972 | 3.29 | +2.3 | 59:53 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:25 | 0.13 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:18 | 0.29 | 63.3% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:43 | 0.08 | 63.1% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:54 | 0.38 | 61.2% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:38 | 0.22 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:21 | 0.37 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:39 | 0.46 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.22 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 17:03 | 0.57 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:05 | 0.22 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.03 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.11 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.08 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.10 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.02 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:48 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:34 | 0.00 | 90.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.95 | 0.0 | 58:50 |